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Democrats lead Republicans on economy as Trump approval falls, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds

Created at 3 Aug · 8:21 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

A Reuters/Ipsos poll found that Americans now view Democrats as better stewards of the economy than Republicans for the first time in nearly a decade. President Donald Trump's approval rating also fell to 35%.

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Key Numbers

35%President Donald Trump's approval rating
37%registered voters favoring Democrats on economy
36%registered voters favoring Republicans on economy
27%registered voters unsure or favoring other party on economy
25%gasoline price surge since Iran conflict began
42%registered voters favoring Democrats in congressional elections
37%registered voters favoring Republicans in congressional elections
2 percentage pointsmargin of error for poll

Who's Involved

Democrats
preferred party for economic stewardship in Reuters/Ipsos poll
Republicans
lag Democrats on economic stewardship in Reuters/Ipsos poll
Donald Trump
President whose approval rating fell to 35%
Joe Biden
Democratic President during whose term Republicans held economic advantage
Reuters/Ipsos
conducted the poll on American economic sentiment
Democrats lead Republicans on economy as Trump approval falls, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds

↳ Why This Matters

The poll indicates a potential shift in voter sentiment regarding economic management, which could influence the upcoming midterm elections and reflect voter concerns over inflation and energy prices under the current administration.

Key facts

  • Americans now pick Democrats over Republicans as better stewards of the economy, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll.
  • President Donald Trump's approval rating fell to 35% from 37% in the latest poll.
  • The poll found 37% of registered voters believe the Democratic Party has a better approach to the U.S. economy, versus 36% for the Republican Party.
  • Gasoline prices have increased by over 25% since the conflict with Iran began.
  • 42% of registered voters indicated they would vote for a Democrat in congressional elections, while 37% would vote Republican.

Americans now view Democrats more favorably than Republicans when it comes to managing the U.S. economy, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll. This marks the first time in nearly a decade that the Democratic Party has held an advantage on this issue.

The poll, conducted from Wednesday to Monday, also revealed a decline in President Donald Trump's approval rating, which dropped to 35%. This shift in economic sentiment, coupled with rising energy prices attributed to the conflict with Iran, could potentially impact the Republican Party's prospects in the upcoming November midterm elections.

Trump's presidential approval rating saw a decrease from 37% in the previous month's poll, bringing it close to the lowest level recorded during his term. The survey indicated that 37% of registered voters believe Democrats have a better economic approach, compared to 36% who favor Republicans. A significant 27% remained unsure or believed another party would perform better.

Historically, Republicans have maintained an advantage on economic matters throughout much of Trump's presidency and the preceding years of Joe Biden's term. However, this edge has diminished recently, coinciding with increased household financial strain due to soaring gasoline prices following U.S.-Israeli attacks on Iran in February and the subsequent ongoing conflict.

Trump has stated that the strikes were intended to halt Iran's nuclear program and curb its regional aggression. Nevertheless, gasoline prices have risen by over 25% since the conflict began, with average prices at the pump increasing by more than a dollar per gallon.

Regarding the upcoming congressional elections, the poll showed 42% of registered voters would support a Democrat, while 37% would support a Republican. Independents showed a 12-percentage-point preference for Democrats. Republicans are currently defending narrow majorities in both the House of Representatives and the Senate.

Trump has frequently disputed polling data that suggests dissatisfaction with his leadership, recently posting on Truth Social that his "REAL Polling Numbers" are at an all-time high. The Reuters/Ipsos poll surveyed 4,505 U.S. adults and has a margin of error of 2 percentage points.

Frequently asked questions

President Donald Trump's approval rating in the latest Reuters/Ipsos poll fell to 35%.

Americans now favor the Democratic Party over the Republican Party as better stewards of the economy, according to the poll.

Rising energy prices, resulting from the conflict with Iran, and the general state of U.S. household finances have contributed to the shift.

The Reuters/Ipsos poll has a margin of error of 2 percentage points.

What Happens Next

01November midterm elections will determine control of Congress.

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Cadence

How It Developed

A Reuters/Ipsos poll found Democrats leading Republicans on economic stewardship for the first time in nearly a decade.
The poll also showed President Donald Trump's approval rating falling to 35%.
Trump's handling of the economy, including rising energy prices, could impact his party's chances in the November midterm elections.
The Republican edge on the economy has deteriorated during Trump's current term, narrowing to zero recently.
Gasoline prices have surged by more than 25% since the conflict with Iran began.
In the poll, 42% of registered voters would vote for a Democrat in congressional elections, compared to 37% for a Republican.
Trump has dismissed negative polling, claiming his "REAL Polling Numbers" are the best they have ever been.

Sources

T1
Democrats lead Republicans on economy as Trump approval falls, Reuters/Ipsos poll findsReuters

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