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Defence Secretary urges Burnham to commit to 3.5% spending target

Created at 5 Jul · 11:10 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Defence Secretary Dan Jarvis is calling on Andy Burnham to commit to a path toward increasing UK defence spending to 3.5% of GDP by 2030, a move that would require an additional £25 billion annually. Jarvis is lobbying Burnham, the likely next prime minister, for this commitment in the upcoming spending review.

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Key Numbers

3.5%Nato defence spending target
£25bnannual increase for military by mid-2030s
2030year for trajectory commitment
£298bnfour-year defence investment plan
2.68%defence spending commitment by 2030
2035year for 3.5% target
£1.5bnadditional funds for defence over four years
£4.7bnhole to be filled by Treasury
£600mextra for drones
£15bnadditional approved for defence until 2030
five weeksJarvis's tenure in role

Who's Involved

Dan Jarvis
New Defence Secretary calling for increased defence spending
Andy Burnham
Likely next Prime Minister, urged to commit to defence spending target
Nato
Alliance with a 3.5% defence spending target
Pete Hegseth
US counterpart reassured by Jarvis on UK spending pledges
John Healey
Predecessor who quit over defence spending commitments
Keir Starmer
Prime Minister, offered Jarvis the cabinet job
Yvette Cooper
Foreign Secretary travelling to Nato summit
Rachel Reeves
Chancellor with whom Treasury negotiations were conducted

↳ Why This Matters

The UK's commitment to Nato defence spending targets is crucial for its standing within the alliance and its ability to respond to global security challenges. Disagreements over funding levels and priorities could impact military readiness, international relations, and domestic fiscal policy.

Key facts

  • Defence Secretary Dan Jarvis is urging Andy Burnham to commit to a path towards 3.5% of GDP defence spending.
  • This target would require an additional £25 billion per year for the military by the mid-2030s.
  • Jarvis is confident that Burnham, as prime minister, will prioritize national security.
  • The UK is preparing for a significant deployment in the Strait of Hormuz.
  • Jarvis's predecessor resigned after the commitment to increase spending to only 2.68% of GDP by 2030.
  • An extra £1.5 billion has been secured for defence over four years, including for drones.

Defence Secretary Dan Jarvis has publicly urged Andy Burnham, the presumptive next Prime Minister, to commit to a clear plan for increasing UK defence spending to 3.5% of GDP, aligning with Nato targets. Jarvis emphasized the growing global dangers and the need for a substantial increase in military resources, estimating an additional £25 billion annually by the mid-2030s.

Jarvis, who recently took over as Defence Secretary, has already engaged with Burnham's team to discuss defence priorities and the recently published £298 billion, four-year defence investment plan. He expressed confidence in Burnham's commitment to national security, despite the financial implications, which may necessitate cuts elsewhere or increased taxes.

The call comes as Britain prepares for a significant deployment in the Strait of Hormuz. Jarvis plans to assure his US counterpart, Pete Hegseth, that the UK will honor its spending pledges. His predecessor, John Healey, resigned last month after the government only committed to increasing defence spending to 2.68% of GDP by 2030, leaving a steep climb to the 3.5% target.

The recent defence investment plan secured an additional £1.5 billion over four years, partly for drones, but this was accompanied by cuts to other capital programs, creating a £4.7 billion fiscal hole. Burnham has stated his intention to fully fund the defence investment plan if he becomes prime minister, assuring no compromise on national security.

Jarvis acknowledged the challenge of making the case for defence spending but noted that publishing the investment plan ahead of the Nato summit was crucial. He highlighted securing approximately £600 million extra for drones and credited constructive negotiations with the Treasury, led by Chancellor Rachel Reeves, for the final approved £15 billion increase until 2030. Jarvis accepted his cabinet position without demanding increased defence funding as a precondition and expressed a desire to continue in his role under Burnham.

Frequently asked questions

The Nato target is for member states to spend 3.5% of their GDP on defence.

It would mean an additional £25 billion per year for the military by the mid-2030s.

John Healey resigned after the government committed to increasing defence spending to only 2.68% of GDP by 2030, not the 3.5% target.

The current defence investment plan is valued at £298 billion over four years.

What Happens Next

01The UK's commitment to defence spending will be discussed at the upcoming Nato summit.
02Andy Burnham will determine if Dan Jarvis continues in his role if he becomes Prime Minister.

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Cadence

How It Developed

Defence Secretary Dan Jarvis called on Andy Burnham to show a trajectory toward increasing defence spending to 3.5% of GDP.
Jarvis stated that the world is more dangerous and complicated than at any point in his lifetime.
Britain is preparing for a significant deployment in the Strait of Hormuz.
Jarvis will reassure US counterpart Pete Hegseth that the UK will meet its 3.5% spending pledge.
Jarvis's predecessor, John Healey, resigned after the commitment to increase spending to only 2.68% of GDP by 2030.
The new defence secretary secured an additional £1.5 billion over four years for defence, including for drones.
This uplift came amid cuts to roads and other capital programs, creating a £4.7 billion hole.
Andy Burnham stated he would fully fund the defence investment plan if he became prime minister.

Sources

T1
Minister calls on Burnham to show path to 3.5% target on UK defence spendingThe Guardian

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