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CFTC Warns Prediction Markets on Gambling Odds Amid State Crackdown

Created at 7 Aug · 5:00 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

The CFTC has warned regulated prediction markets against using American-style gambling odds, as states intensify scrutiny and allege illegal sports betting operations. New York is seeking $36 billion in damages from Kalshi.

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Key Numbers

$36 billiondamages sought by New York against Kalshi
10th Circuitappeal pending for Kalshi in Utah

Who's Involved

CFTC
U.S. regulator warning prediction markets
Polymarket
prediction market platform warned by CFTC
Kalshi
prediction market platform facing state scrutiny and lawsuits
New York
state suing Kalshi for illegal gambling
Nevada
state that secured a court order against prediction markets
Wisconsin
state where a federal court ruled on gambling laws
Daniel Wallach
legal expert commenting on Kalshi's motion
Derek Brown
Utah Attorney General

↳ Why This Matters

The CFTC's warning and ongoing state-level enforcement actions signal a critical juncture for prediction markets, potentially reshaping their operational models and legal standing within the U.S. regulatory landscape.

Key facts

  • The CFTC has warned prediction markets against using American-style gambling odds.
  • States are alleging that prediction markets are operating unlicensed sports betting businesses.
  • New York is suing Kalshi for allegedly running an illegal, unlicensed gambling business and seeking $36 billion in damages.
  • Kalshi filed an emergency motion for an injunction pending appeal in Utah federal court.
  • A federal court ruled that Utah can enforce its anti-gambling laws against prediction markets.

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has issued a warning to regulated prediction market platforms, advising them to cease using American-style gambling odds. This directive comes amid a growing crackdown by various states that allege these platforms are operating as unlicensed sports betting businesses.

According to a Bloomberg report, the CFTC has instructed these entities to comply with U.S. laws governing derivative trades and to avoid deceptive practices in their product listings, solicitations, and advertisements. The regulator's warning about gambling odds coincides with enforcement actions by states, which argue that sports prediction contracts offered by these platforms constitute illegal sports betting.

New York has taken a significant stance, with its attorney general suing Kalshi for allegedly operating an illegal, unlicensed gambling business and seeking damages up to $36 billion. Similarly, Nevada has obtained a court order to restrict these prediction markets from offering sports contracts within the state. A federal court in Wisconsin also indicated that state gambling laws could apply to sports prediction markets in a ruling against the CFTC and Kalshi.

In response to these pressures, Kalshi has filed an emergency motion for an injunction pending appeal with the Utah federal court. Legal expert Daniel Wallach noted on X that Kalshi is seeking expedited relief, fearing potential civil or criminal charges from Utah's Attorney General Derek Brown while its appeal is ongoing. This move follows a recent federal court ruling allowing Utah to enforce its anti-gambling laws against prediction markets, including Kalshi, which had previously sued Utah to block such enforcement.

Frequently asked questions

The CFTC is warning regulated prediction markets against using American-style gambling odds and to ensure compliance with U.S. laws governing derivative trades.

States allege that these platforms are operating illegal, unlicensed sports betting businesses through their sports contracts.

New York's attorney general is suing Kalshi for allegedly running an illegal, unlicensed gambling business and is seeking up to $36 billion in damages.

Kalshi filed an emergency motion for an injunction pending appeal in Utah federal court, seeking expedited relief to prevent potential charges while its appeal is pending.

What Happens Next

01Kalshi will await a decision on its emergency motion for an injunction pending appeal in Utah.
02Utah's Attorney General is expected to implement enforcement actions against prediction markets.
03Kalshi plans to appeal the recent federal court ruling regarding Utah's gambling laws.

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Cadence

How It Developed

The CFTC warned regulated prediction markets against using American-style gambling odds.
States are cracking down on prediction markets, alleging they operate unlicensed sports betting businesses.
New York sued Kalshi, seeking up to $36 billion in damages for allegedly running an illegal gambling business.
Nevada secured a court order restricting prediction markets from offering sports contracts.
A federal court in Wisconsin ruled that state gambling laws could regulate sports prediction markets.
Kalshi filed an emergency motion for an injunction pending appeal in Utah federal court.
Kalshi is seeking expedited relief due to fears of civil or criminal charges from Utah's attorney general.
A federal court ruled Utah could enforce its anti-gambling laws against prediction markets.

Sources

T1
CFTC Warns Polymarket, Kalshi Against American-Style Gambling Odds Amid State ScrutinyCoinGape

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