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Celtic leaders doubt Burnham's devolution drive will extend beyond England

Created at 6 Jul · 3:06 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Sceptical leaders in Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland doubt Andy Burnham's devolution plans will extend beyond England, citing missteps and a perceived lack of understanding of devolved powers. Concerns include his focus on Manchester and potential U-turns on the Barnett formula.

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Key Numbers

100-yearLabour's dominance in Wales

Who's Involved

Andy Burnham
UK's potential next prime minister, advocating for devolution
Keir Starmer
Current leader of the Labour Party
Liz Saville Roberts
Plaid Cymru MP
Michelle O’Neill
Sinn Féin First Minister of Northern Ireland
Richard Wyn Jones
Director of Cardiff University's Wales Governance Centre
Mark Drakeford
Former Welsh Labour First Minister

↳ Why This Matters

The skepticism from Celtic leaders highlights potential challenges for Andy Burnham's leadership in uniting the UK, suggesting his devolution agenda may face significant opposition and could fail to address the distinct needs and aspirations of Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland.

Key facts

  • Celtic leaders in Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland are reportedly sceptical of Andy Burnham's devolution plans.
  • Sources suggest Burnham's focus on England, particularly Manchester, indicates his devolution drive may not extend to other UK nations.
  • Concerns have been raised about Burnham's understanding of existing devolved powers and potential policy shifts, including on the Barnett formula.
  • Burnham's recent statements have been perceived as missteps by pro-independence parties in Scotland and Wales.

Leaders in Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland have expressed doubts about Andy Burnham's commitment to devolution beyond England, according to sources. Burnham, who is expected to become the UK's next prime minister, has emphasized devolving power and resources within England, but his approach has already caused friction with devolved administrations.

A senior Scottish government source indicated that Burnham's focus on Manchester as a "nerve centre of a rewired Britain" suggests a limited scope for his devolution agenda. The source questioned whether Burnham understood devolution from the perspective of Scotland, implying his vision was primarily English.

Plaid Cymru MP Liz Saville Roberts stated that if Burnham wishes to genuinely serve Wales, he must move away from the "muscular unionism" previously seen from Labour. Burnham's assertion that people in Dundee and Bangor feel distant from their devolved governments in Holyrood and the Senedd, respectively, was also poorly received, particularly as these are strongholds for the SNP and Plaid Cymru.

Furthermore, Burnham's recent pitch to Scottish voters reportedly contained factual errors regarding devolved powers. There is also disappointment in Belfast and Cardiff over his apparent reversal on a pledge to reform or scrap the Barnett formula, which dictates Treasury funding allocations to the devolved nations.

Michelle O’Neill, the First Minister of Northern Ireland, commented that "the face might change, but the policy never does," suggesting a continuity of approach from Westminster regardless of leadership. She emphasized the need to "fix the fundamentals" rather than merely "throw a few pounds at a problem."

Richard Wyn Jones, director of Cardiff University's Wales Governance Centre, highlighted an internal debate within the Labour party. One faction, comprising Scottish and Welsh MPs, reportedly favors working directly with local authorities rather than granting more powers to Holyrood and the Senedd, which Wyn Jones described as an "anti-devolution move" for those countries. Conversely, another faction aligns more closely with the understanding of devolution in Scotland and Wales, advocating for further devolution of powers such as justice, the Crown Estate, and rail infrastructure. Wyn Jones noted the significance of Mark Drakeford, the former Welsh Labour First Minister, campaigning for Burnham, suggesting Burnham's sympathy towards devolution from his time as Mayor of Manchester.

Frequently asked questions

The Barnett formula is a UK government mechanism used to determine the allocation of public spending to Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland based on population size relative to England.

Leaders are concerned that Burnham's focus is primarily on England, that he misunderstands devolved powers, and that he may not reform the Barnett formula as previously suggested.

Key figures include sources within the Scottish government, Plaid Cymru MP Liz Saville Roberts, and Northern Ireland First Minister Michelle O’Neill.

What Happens Next

01Burnham's administration will need to clarify its approach to devolution for Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland.
02Further engagement will be required to address the concerns of devolved governments regarding power and resource allocation.
03The future of the Barnett formula and its impact on devolved budgets will likely remain a key point of contention.

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Cadence

How It Developed

Celtic administrations expressed doubt over Andy Burnham's devolution promises.
A Scottish government source suggested Burnham's focus on Manchester implied an 'England-only' approach.
Plaid Cymru MP Liz Saville Roberts criticized Burnham's direction, linking it to past Labour losses in Wales.
Burnham's assertion that Dundee and Bangor feel distant from devolved governments was poorly received.
A pitch to Scottish voters contained errors regarding devolved powers.
Disappointment arose over Burnham's apparent U-turn on reforming the Barnett formula.
Michelle O’Neill, First Minister of Northern Ireland, suggested policy would remain unchanged despite leadership changes.
Richard Wyn Jones noted internal Labour debates on Burnham's approach to devolution in Scotland and Wales.

Sources

T1
Celtic leaders doubt Burnham’s devolution drive will go beyond England’s bordersThe Guardian

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