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Baltimore sues prediction markets over alleged illegal sports betting

Created at 13 Aug · 9:16 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

The City of Baltimore has filed lawsuits against prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket, alleging they violated local gambling laws and engaged in deceptive trade practices by offering unlicensed sports betting. The city disputes the companies' characterization of event contracts as legal trades.

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Who's Involved

City of Baltimore
Plaintiff suing prediction market platforms
Brendan Scott
Mayor of Baltimore
Kalshi
Prediction market platform sued for illegal gambling
Polymarket
Prediction market platform sued for illegal gambling
Robinhood
Partner named in lawsuit against Kalshi
Webull
Partner named in lawsuit against Kalshi
Coinbase
Partner named in lawsuit against Kalshi
US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC)
Federal regulator asserting jurisdiction over prediction markets
Michael Selig
Chair of the CFTC

↳ Why This Matters

This legal challenge by Baltimore against prediction market platforms could set a precedent for how such platforms are regulated, potentially leading to a patchwork of state-specific rules or a definitive federal ruling on their legality and classification as either legal contracts or illegal gambling.

Key facts

  • Baltimore has sued prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket for allegedly violating gambling laws.
  • The city claims these platforms operate as unlicensed sports betting operations.
  • The lawsuits dispute the companies' classification of event contracts as legal trades.
  • Robinhood, Webull, and Coinbase are named as partners in the lawsuit against Kalshi.
  • The CFTC asserts federal jurisdiction over prediction markets, classifying event contracts as 'swaps'.

The City of Baltimore, through Mayor Brendan Scott, has initiated legal action against prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket, accusing them of operating illegal, unlicensed sports betting operations and misleading users about the regulatory status of their products. The lawsuits contend that the event contracts traded on these platforms constitute unlawful wagers under Maryland state law, directly challenging the companies' assertion that these are legal event contracts.

Notably, the complaint filed against Kalshi also implicates Robinhood, Webull, and Coinbase, identifying them as partners accused of deceptive practices for marketing sports contracts as lawfully tradable assets in Maryland. This legal move highlights a growing tension between state and federal regulatory approaches to prediction markets.

The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), led by Chair Michael Selig, maintains that event contracts on prediction markets fall under its purview as 'swaps.' This federal stance contrasts with Baltimore's position and that of other state authorities, who argue for state and local regulatory control. A spokesperson for Polymarket emphasized that city-specific actions conflict with the CFTC's established framework, asserting that prediction markets on CFTC-registered exchanges are governed by federal law, not a fragmented system of state and local rules. This dispute is expected by many experts to potentially reach the Supreme Court.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets are platforms where users can trade contracts whose value is tied to the outcome of future events, such as elections or sports results.

Baltimore alleges that these companies are operating illegal, unlicensed sports betting platforms and deceiving users about the legality of their products.

The CFTC views event contracts on prediction markets as 'swaps' and asserts federal jurisdiction over them, arguing they are governed by federal law.

The lawsuit against Kalshi also names Robinhood, Webull, and Coinbase as partners accused of deceptive practices.

What Happens Next

01The lawsuits may be appealed to the Supreme Court.
02Further legal challenges regarding the classification of prediction market contracts are anticipated.

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Cadence

How It Developed

Baltimore filed lawsuits against Kalshi and Polymarket for allegedly operating illegal sports betting platforms.
The city claims the companies misled users about the legality and regulatory status of their products.
Baltimore disputes the characterization of event contracts as lawful wagers under state laws.
The lawsuit against Kalshi names Robinhood, Webull, and Coinbase as partners accused of deceptive practices.
The CFTC and companies argue event contracts are 'swaps' governed by federal law, not state/local rules.
Polymarket stated city-specific action contradicts the CFTC's framework for regulating prediction markets.

Sources

T1
City of Baltimore goes after prediction markets for sports bettingThe city’s complaint over gambling laws and deceptive trade practices included Robinhood, Webull and Coinbase as partners with prediction market platform Kalshi.Cointelegraph

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