Someone Put 16 Million in Tesla Calls on a Promise Delayed Six Times

Someone put about 16 million dollars into short-dated Tesla calls, all struck to expire within two weeks, and three of the four trades hit in the final 90 seconds of Monday. The calendar is the tell: nearly 60% of the premium expires October 16, one day after the Roadster reveal, so buyers are betting the event, not earnings. The catch, three of four breakevens sit above Wall Street's full-year target, and the Roadster reveal has already been delayed six times. 📊 tastylive: https://www.tastylive.com/ 📰 Get Tom's pre-market analysis every morning: https://www.tastylive.com/newsletters 📘 FREE Options Strategy Guide: https://tinyurl.com/bp9ms763 📱 Follow tastylive on X: https://x.com/tastyliveshow Chapters 00:00 16 million in Tesla calls 00:15 All short-dated, bought late Monday 00:36 The two expiration buckets 01:12 The Roadster reveal is the event 01:40 Breakevens above the street's target 02:04 The implied move and the hurdle 02:41 A promise delayed six times 03:18 The mixed setup under the stock 03:49 Ugly operating picture, negative cash flow 04:33 Why the bet still isn't crazy #tastylive #signalvsnoise #tesla #tsla #optionsflow #callbuying #roadster #catalysttrade #optionstrading #stockmarket tastylive is a real financial network, producing hours of live programming every day. Follow along as our experts navigate the markets, provide actionable trading insights, and teach you how to trade. With over 120 original segments, and over 25 personalities, we'll help you take your trading to the next level, whether you are new to trading or a seasoned veteran. tastylive content is created, produced, and provided solely by tastylive, Inc. ("tastylive") and is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not, nor is it intended to be, trading or investment advice or a recommendation that any security, futures contract, digital asset, other product, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any person. Trading securities, futures products, and digital assets involve risk and may result in a loss greater than the original amount invested. Investment information provided may not be appropriate for all investors and is provided without respect to individual investor financial sophistication, financial situation, investing time horizon or risk tolerance. Options, futures, and futures options are not suitable for all investors. Prior to trading securities, options, futures, or futures options, please read all applicable risk disclosures, including, but not limited to, the Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options Disclosure and the Futures and Exchange Traded Options Risk Disclosure Statement found at https://tastytrade.com/disclosures/. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance is not presented net of all commissions, fees, and expenses. Multi-leg option strategies incur higher transaction costs than single leg trades as they involve multiple commission charges. Examples provided are for illustrative, informational, and educational purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve. Supporting documentation for any claims, including claims made on behalf of options programs), comparisons, statistics, or other technical data, if applicable, will be supplied upon request. tastylive, through its content, financial programming or otherwise, does not provide investment or financial advice or make investment recommendations. tastylive is not a licensed financial adviser, registered investment adviser, or a registered broker-dealer.