Julia Spina Breaks Down 20 Years of VIX Expansions

Julia Spina walks through a study of VIX expansions and contractions from 2005 to 2025, and one number does most of the work. At an average VIX near 20, a spike and a drop are close to equally likely, and that holds whether you look at seven day, fifteen day or thirty day windows. Below 13, expansions dominate. Above 25, contractions take over. And the higher the VIX goes, the shorter those moves tend to last, which makes duration the real decision. Study by Sahil. Education, not a recommendation. 📊 tastylive: https://www.tastylive.com/ 📰 Get Tom's pre-market analysis every morning: https://www.tastylive.com/newsletters 📘 FREE Options Strategy Guide: https://tinyurl.com/bp9ms763 📱 Follow tastylive on X: https://x.com/tastyliveshow Chapters 00:00 Quantum earnings and a quiet tape 01:53 Why 2026 flipped the usual pattern 04:21 How the study was built 05:21 Volatility clusters, it rarely moves alone 08:36 What a VIX of 10 to 13 means 09:57 Above 25 contractions take over 11:08 The 20 level holds every window 12:45 Takeaways and choosing your duration #tastylive #vix #volatility #optionstrading #juliaspina #marketmeasure #impliedvolatility #optionseducation #tastytrade #stockmarket tastylive is a real financial network, producing hours of live programming every day. Follow along as our experts navigate the markets, provide actionable trading insights, and teach you how to trade. With over 120 original segments, and over 25 personalities, we'll help you take your trading to the next level, whether you are new to trading or a seasoned veteran. tastylive content is created, produced, and provided solely by tastylive, Inc. ("tastylive") and is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not, nor is it intended to be, trading or investment advice or a recommendation that any security, futures contract, digital asset, other product, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any person. Trading securities, futures products, and digital assets involve risk and may result in a loss greater than the original amount invested. Investment information provided may not be appropriate for all investors and is provided without respect to individual investor financial sophistication, financial situation, investing time horizon or risk tolerance. Options, futures, and futures options are not suitable for all investors. Prior to trading securities, options, futures, or futures options, please read all applicable risk disclosures, including, but not limited to, the Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options Disclosure and the Futures and Exchange Traded Options Risk Disclosure Statement found at https://tastytrade.com/disclosures/. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance is not presented net of all commissions, fees, and expenses. Multi-leg option strategies incur higher transaction costs than single leg trades as they involve multiple commission charges. Examples provided are for illustrative, informational, and educational purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve. Supporting documentation for any claims, including claims made on behalf of options programs), comparisons, statistics, or other technical data, if applicable, will be supplied upon request. tastylive, through its content, financial programming or otherwise, does not provide investment or financial advice or make investment recommendations. tastylive is not a licensed financial adviser, registered investment adviser, or a registered broker-dealer.