Gold and the Dollar Already Moved. Bonds Are the Last Holdout.

Markets put the odds of no rate hike this year at barely 30%, down from the 90s in May, even as the Fed’s favored inflation gauge keeps trending its way. Gold and the dollar have already moved. Bonds have not. tastylive's Head of Global Macro Ilya Spivak looks at price signals in stocks, bonds, crude oil, gold, and the US dollar to decipher what the markets may do next. 00:00 Is a Bond Trade Hiding in Plain Sight? 01:45 Stocks Stall Ahead of Nvidia and Jackson Hole 03:35 Gold and the Dollar Signal Lower Rates Ahead 05:55 Treasury Intervention Puts a Floor Under Bonds 07:45 PCE Inflation Comes In Slightly Hotter 09:40 Inflation Trends Still Point Toward Disinflation 11:25 Fed Rate Hike Odds Hide Growing Uncertainty 13:20 Weak US Data Keeps Rate Expectations Falling 15:10 TLT Breakout Creates an Attractive Bond Trade 16:35 Positioning: Long Gold, Bitcoin & Bonds; Short Stoc 📊 tastylive: https://www.tastylive.com/ 📰 Get Tom Preston's pre-market analysis every morning: https://www.tastylive.com/newsletters 📘 FREE Options Strategy Guide: https://tinyurl.com/bp9ms763 📱 Follow tastylive on X: https://x.com/tastyliveshow #options #trading #investing #finance #stocks #stockmarket #marketanalysis #tradereducation #financialeducation #tastylive tastylive is a real financial network, producing hours of live programming every day. Follow along as our experts navigate the markets, provide actionable trading insights, and teach you how to trade. With over 120 original segments, and over 25 personalities, we'll help you take your trading to the next level, whether you are new to trading or a seasoned veteran. tastylive content is created, produced, and provided solely by tastylive, Inc. ("tastylive") and is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not, nor is it intended to be, trading or investment advice or a recommendation that any security, futures contract, digital asset, other product, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any person. Trading securities, futures products, and digital assets involve risk and may result in a loss greater than the original amount invested. Investment information provided may not be appropriate for all investors and is provided without respect to individual investor financial sophistication, financial situation, investing time horizon or risk tolerance. Options, futures, and futures options are not suitable for all investors. Prior to trading securities, options, futures, or futures options, please read all applicable risk disclosures, including, but not limited to, the Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options Disclosure and the Futures and Exchange Traded Options Risk Disclosure Statement found at https://tastytrade.com/disclosures/. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance is not presented net of all commissions, fees, and expenses. Multi-leg option strategies incur higher transaction costs than single leg trades as they involve multiple commission charges. Examples provided are for illustrative, informational, and educational purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve. Supporting documentation for any claims, including claims made on behalf of options programs), comparisons, statistics, or other technical data, if applicable, will be supplied upon request. tastylive, through its content, financial programming or otherwise, does not provide investment or financial advice or make investment recommendations. tastylive is not a licensed financial adviser, registered investment adviser, or a registered broker-dealer.