Cem Karsan on Why Opex Week Is the Best Time to Sell Volatility

Kai Volatility founder Cem Karsan joins tastylive hosts Jermal Chandler and Mike Butler ahead of a huge options week. Cem argues the stretch into a big quarterly expiration is historically the best week of the month to sell volatility: heavy open interest and dealer positioning make the tape short-term volatile but strongly mean reverting, so big moves tend to fade rather than run. He walks through the charm and vanna flows that quietly compress implied volatility into expiration, why calendar spreads have been the trade, and how to think about a market that keeps chopping and going nowhere ahead of next week's Fed decision. Views are the speakers' own. Education, not a recommendation. 📊 tastylive: https://www.tastylive.com/ 📰 Get Tom's pre-market analysis every morning: https://www.tastylive.com/newsletters 📘 FREE Options Strategy Guide: https://tinyurl.com/bp9ms763 📱 Follow tastylive on X: https://x.com/tastyliveshow Chapters 00:00 A wild, volatile week 00:37 A market going nowhere 02:23 Oil and rates hit stocks 05:24 A rate hike priced for next week 05:57 What a Fed surprise could do 07:03 Trading a triple witching week 07:44 Why opex week mean reverts 09:04 How dealer flows crush vol 10:39 The Fed meeting to watch 11:16 Recapping the day's trades #tastylive #cemkarsan #kaivolatility #opex #triplewitching #volatility #vix #optionstrading #meanreversion #optionseducation tastylive is a real financial network, producing hours of live programming every day. Follow along as our experts navigate the markets, provide actionable trading insights, and teach you how to trade. With over 120 original segments, and over 25 personalities, we'll help you take your trading to the next level, whether you are new to trading or a seasoned veteran. tastylive content is created, produced, and provided solely by tastylive, Inc. ("tastylive") and is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not, nor is it intended to be, trading or investment advice or a recommendation that any security, futures contract, digital asset, other product, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any person. Trading securities, futures products, and digital assets involve risk and may result in a loss greater than the original amount invested. Investment information provided may not be appropriate for all investors and is provided without respect to individual investor financial sophistication, financial situation, investing time horizon or risk tolerance. Options, futures, and futures options are not suitable for all investors. Prior to trading securities, options, futures, or futures options, please read all applicable risk disclosures, including, but not limited to, the Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options Disclosure and the Futures and Exchange Traded Options Risk Disclosure Statement found at https://tastytrade.com/disclosures/. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance is not presented net of all commissions, fees, and expenses. Multi-leg option strategies incur higher transaction costs than single leg trades as they involve multiple commission charges. Examples provided are for illustrative, informational, and educational purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve. Supporting documentation for any claims, including claims made on behalf of options programs), comparisons, statistics, or other technical data, if applicable, will be supplied upon request. tastylive, through its content, financial programming or otherwise, does not provide investment or financial advice or make investment recommendations. tastylive is not a licensed financial adviser, registered investment adviser, or a registered broker-dealer.