What a Tight Range Means for USD/CAD's Five-Week Rally

The USD/CAD rally has reached five straight weekly gains, stalling at the 61.8% retracement of the 2025 decline as a tight trading range forms. Michael Boutros, StoneX Media Senior Market Analyst, walks through USD/CAD on the weekly, daily and four hour charts and sets out the data calendar ahead. Only three of the last 21 sessions have closed lower, and momentum remains overbought inside an ascending pitchfork, with a break of trendline support marking the risk of a larger correction. Fed funds futures have priced out a Federal Reserve rate hike this month while still pricing roughly 86% odds of another increase in December. Canadian employment data, the University of Michigan consumer survey and the U.S. consumer price index are next for the Canadian dollar. Discover Actionable Insights with the latest Market Outlook Reports: https://intel.stonex.com/offer?language=en&campaignId=A908C315-DC62-4F35-AC16-870BB71E84D1&utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=sxtv_guest_michael_boutros&utm_content=share 00:00 - USD/CAD Notches a Fifth Week 00:23 - USD/CAD Hits a Fibonacci Wall 01:33 - Correction Risk Under USD/CAD 02:22 - A Tight Range Holds the Key 04:03 - Fed Hike Bets Move to December 04:34 - Canada Jobs Kick Off Data Run Like and subscribe for more financial market insights. #StoneX #MichaelBoutros #USDCAD #Forex --------- Like this video? Subscribe and turn on notifications so you don't miss any videos from StoneX: https://www.youtube.com/@stonex_official Visit https://www.stonex.com/en/insights/thought-leadership/?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=social for insights, perspectives and thought leadership from StoneX's global network of experts. Visit our website: https://www.stonex.com?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=social