The EUR/USD forecast hinges on U.S. CPI after five straight weekly losses, with hawkish Fed bets and a fully priced ECB rate hike weighing on the euro. Fawad Razaqzada, StoneX Media Market Analyst, explains how the five-week downtrend, U.S. inflation data and crude oil prices shape the euro and U.S. dollar outlook. With CPI expectations well defined, a meaningful surprise is needed to trigger a strong dollar move. Crude oil prices and bond yields remain key dollar drivers as Middle East military activity remains high, while French government finances weigh on the single currency. 0:00 EUR/USD Bounce Meets Downtrend 0:24 Oil and Yields Drag the Dollar 0:52 U.S. CPI Puts Dollar on Trial 1:57 Crowded Dollar Bets vs ECB 2:27 French Finances Weigh on Euro 2:55 Five-Week Slide Sets the Tone 4:00 Bond Yields and Crude Decide Discover Actionable Insights with the latest Market Outlook Reports: https://intel.stonex.com/offer?language=en&campaignId=A908C315-DC62-4F35-AC16-870BB71E84D1&utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=sxtv_guest_fawad_razaqzada&utm_content=share Like and subscribe for more financial market insights. #EURUSD #StoneX #FawadRazaqzada #Forex