El Niño Helps Brazil's Arabica and Threatens Its Robusta
StoneXEl Niño affects Brazil coffee unevenly, helping arabica through the flowering window while raising heat risk across the robusta belt. Leonardo Rossetti, StoneX Brazil Market Intelligence Analyst, explains in July 2026 how El Niño reaches Brazil's arabica and robusta regions differently and why the flowering period carries so much weight. The September and early October flowering period sets production potential for the next crop, and consistent rainfall through it matters more than almost anything else in the calendar. Recent La Niña years weighed on Brazilian production, while the robusta areas of Espirito Santo and southern Bahia carry the greater heat and dryness risk, as they did during the strong El Niño of 2014 to 2016. How long this event lasts also decides whether the effects reach Vietnam, Indonesia, Colombia and Central America. Discover Actionable Coffee Insights with StoneX Market Intelligence: https://shop.stonex.com/products/coffee-differential-insight?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=sxtv_guest_leonardo_rossetti&utm_content=share Watch the original interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qvjaElfEOUI 0:00 El Niño Splits Brazil Coffee 0:21 Arabica Flowering Needs Rain 1:12 Robusta Belt Runs Hot and Dry 1:37 The 2027 El Niño Question 2:25 Bearish Supply Meets Weather 3:06 Vietnam and Colombia at Risk Like and subscribe for more financial market insights. #Coffee #ElNino #StoneX #LeonardoRossetti