The Australian Senior Reporter Paul Garvey says One Nation’s candidate Luke Herdegen is the “man to beat” early in the count for the Secret Harbour by-election. “Certainly, looks better for One Nation and Luke Herdegen than it does for [Labor’s] Georgia Tree at this stage,” Mr Garvey said. “It’s going to be a while before we get a clear picture. “It looks like Luke Herdegen has the lead and is the man to beat.”