U.S. Bonds Are Trading Like an Emerging Market

Learn more about Astraeus Wealth Management: http://astraeuswealth.com/partner-with-us Watch The Important Part: https://youtu.be/iC8AOD9klK0?si=RtReEnQNq2j4fgRd Guy Adami and Liz Thomas discuss historic moves in U.S. Treasuries, with yields jumping 20 bps in two days, the 5-year above 5%, and the average Treasury yield above 5%, signaling a new inflationary regime and forcing investors to rethink allocations. Despite higher discount rates, stocks have held up due to a rotation back into mega-cap tech and AI-driven CapEx supporting GDP expectations, even as the bond market “story” looks ominous. Thomas outlines a “balance by extremes” approach—overweight AI/tech while holding 10-year Treasuries, gold, and commodities—and warns a prolonged war and $90+ oil could push the Fed into hikes that risk recession. They debate gold’s outlook amid technical pressure and reduced central-bank buying, and review banks rolling over as a flatter curve squeezes net interest margins and weaker deal-flow expectations pressure investment banks. They also flag midterm-election volatility, with healthcare favored, and note Tony Robbins appeared on “The Important Part.” Timecodes 0:00 - Intro 2:40 - Historic Bond Moves 12:50 - Gold 19:55 - Midterm Market Impacts 22:15 - Final Thoughts — FOLLOW US Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/riskreversalmedia/ Twitter: https://x.com/riskreversal LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/riskreversalmedia #investing #stocks #stockmarket The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.