MENAP growth is projected to contract by about 1.3% in 2026. Assuming the conflict eases and trade gradually normalizes, growth could rebound to 6.6% in 2027. The economic impact of the war has been highly uneven. https://www.imf.org/en/publications/reo/meca/issues/2026/10/22/regional-economic-outlook-middle-east-central-asia-october-2026?cid=sm-com-yt-am26-REOMCDEA2026002