What academics actually think about technical analysis

Professor Ronald Giles spent over 50 years studying financial markets from an academic perspective, starting at the UN working on Eastern European economic data, then as a government statistician, before lecturing at Southbank University and publishing peer-reviewed research on technical analysis and point and figure charts. In this episode of Technically Speaking, Ronald joins Axel Rudolph to explore what academia actually thinks about technical analysis, why behavioral finance is misunderstood, what GARCH models reveal about market volatility, and why the 20-year market cycle framework suggests the current period of high debt and rising rates may not end smoothly. His three takeaways: markets are dynamic not static, the STA needs stronger links with universities, and the next frontier for technical analysis is qualitative data and nonparametric statistics. 00:00 Introduction 01:34 From the UN to government statistician to academic 02:27 Publishing peer-reviewed research on point and figure charts 03:29 The academic case for technical analysis 05:15 Behavioral finance and its limits 06:32 Why price beats fundamentals, the twin studies 07:09 GARCH models and market volatility explained 08:38 The 20-year market cycle framework 13:11 1940 to now. Where are we in the cycle? 17:55 Three takeaways for traders and academics 📈 Catch more market commentary and insights on our channel. Subscribe ► https://www.youtube.com/@iguk_official?sub_confirmation=1 Find out more: https://upl.inc/k4gg8x Your capital is at risk. 69% of retail investors lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. #TechnicalAnalysis #BehavioralFinance #MarketCycles #PointAndFigure #STA #IFTA #IGMarkets #TechnicallySpeaking #TradingEducation #StockMarket #Investing #AcademicFinance #GARCH #MarketVolatility