Crypto Q4 Market Outlook: Seasonality Trends, BTC Support & ETH Breakout

October broke Bitcoin’s six-year streak of positive performance, closing modestly lower despite historically strong seasonality. In this crypto market analysis, we examine why the pullback may represent bullish consolidation rather than trend reversal. Market strategist, Joel Kruger, explores Bitcoin’s technical structure, including 50-week moving average support, alongside Ethereum’s breakout above prior cycle highs. With institutional adoption, market momentum and Q4 seasonality aligning, we assess the probability of fresh all-time highs into year-end. The analysis also covers historical fourth-quarter performance, Ethereum’s tendency to accelerate into Q1, and forward price scenarios, including upside targets of $150K for Bitcoin and $10K for ETH as broader digital asset momentum builds into 2026.