Key facts
- President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva leads Senator Flavio Bolsonaro by a narrow margin in a simulated second-round runoff.
- Lula would win 42% of the vote compared to 41% for Bolsonaro in a runoff.
- In the first round, Lula leads with 37% of the votes, followed by Bolsonaro at 30%.
- Augusto Cury is in third place with 10% in the first-round scenario.
- The poll was conducted between August 30 and September 1 among 2,004 people.
Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva's lead over right-wing challenger Senator Flavio Bolsonaro has narrowed ahead of the October election, with the two candidates in a technical tie, according to a Quaest poll commissioned by Globo.
In a simulated second-round runoff, Lula would receive 42% of the vote compared to 41% for Bolsonaro, the eldest son of former President Jair Bolsonaro. A previous Quaest poll released on August 14 showed Lula leading Bolsonaro 43% to 40%.
In a first-round scenario, Lula would lead with 37% of the votes, followed by Bolsonaro at 30%. Psychiatrist Augusto Cury is in third place with 10% of the votes, a position he has held in three major surveys this week due to increased TV appearances and social media presence.
If no candidate secures more than 50% of valid votes in the first round, the top two frontrunners advance to a runoff election. The Quaest poll surveyed 2,004 people between August 30 and September 1, with a margin of error of 2 percentage points.