Key facts
- 75% of Americans are concerned about a recession, with 61% wrongly believing one is already occurring.
- High prices for gas and groceries are the top issues for two-thirds of voters.
- Annualized inflation in September was 3.7%, the highest before a midterm election since 1990, excluding the pandemic.
- 40% of rural Americans reported living in 'survival mode' financially.
As the US midterm elections approach, a Harris poll commissioned by The Guardian indicates growing voter dissatisfaction with the economy, particularly concerning high prices. Three-quarters of Americans expressed concern about a potential recession, and 61% mistakenly believe one is already underway.
Independents, who are crucial in swing races, are increasingly negative about the economy, with 65% stating it has worsened, up from 48% in September 2024. Even within the Republican party, optimism has declined, with only 28% of Republicans now believing the economy is improving, down from 49% in February 2026.
High gas and grocery prices are identified as the most important issues for voters, followed by living expenses, healthcare, and foreign affairs. Average gas prices have risen by over $1.20 per gallon compared to the previous year. Rural Americans are particularly affected, with 40% reporting they are living in 'survival mode' financially and 46% blaming the US government for high gas prices.