Key facts
- Core inflation forecast at 2.1% for September.
- Wholesale inflation rose 6.8% in September.
Japan's core consumer inflation likely rose 2.1% in September, exceeding the Bank of Japan's 2% target for the first time since December, a Reuters poll showed. Higher energy prices fueled by the Middle East conflict are feeding through to households.

The potential overshoot of the Bank of Japan's inflation target and Governor Ueda's comments signal a possible shift towards tighter monetary policy, which could impact the yen and global financial markets.
Japan's core inflation likely rose to 2.1% in September, surpassing the Bank of Japan's 2% target for the first time since December, according to a Reuters poll. This acceleration from August's 1.7% is partly attributed to higher energy prices amid Middle East tensions. Wholesale inflation also increased by 6.8% year-on-year in September. Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda highlighted the importance of anchoring inflation around the 2% target and warned of risks that underlying inflation could overshoot it, stressing the need to manage any such overshoot without harming the economy. The central bank is set to release fresh growth and inflation forecasts at its upcoming policy meeting on October 29-30.
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