Key facts
- Consumer prices rose 3.7% year-on-year in September.
- Real wage growth was near zero since January 2026.
Consumer prices rose 3.7% in September from a year ago, driven by energy costs, complicating President Trump's message of economic recovery. Real wage growth was near zero, according to data released Wednesday.

The latest inflation data directly challenges President Trump's economic narrative ahead of the midterm elections, potentially impacting Republican electoral prospects. The rising cost of living and stagnant wages could influence voter sentiment and electoral outcomes.
President Trump's closing argument for the 2026 midterm elections, emphasizing economic recovery and falling inflation, has been challenged by the latest government data. The September inflation report showed a 3.7% year-on-year increase in consumer prices, largely driven by a spike in energy costs stemming from the ongoing war with Iran. This surge in prices, coupled with stagnant real wage growth of approximately zero since January 2026, undermines the administration's claims of economic improvement. Kevin Hassett, Director of the National Economic Council, acknowledged the report was 'disappointing' while attributing some of the price pressures to the conflict in the Middle East and past policies. The rising cost of gasoline, heating, and airfares highlights the economic strain on families.
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