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Hormuz disruptions risk pushing SMEs out of global trade, UN warns

Created at 8 Sep · 1:02 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, fueled by the U.S.-Iran conflict, could force small and medium-sized enterprises out of global supply chains, the UN Conference on Trade and Development warned. SMEs face higher energy, freight, and financing costs, risking ripple effects on global trade and employment.

Key Numbers

90%SMEs as percentage of global businesses
70%SMEs as percentage of global employment
50%SMEs as percentage of world GDP
$99Brent crude price per barrel

Who's Involved

United Nations Conference on Trade and Development
warned of SME exclusion effect from Hormuz disruptions
Marcelo Risi
UNCTAD spokesperson on SME exclusion risk

↳ Why This Matters

The potential exclusion of SMEs from global supply chains due to geopolitical disruptions could have significant ripple effects on global employment, economic concentration, and the overall resilience of international trade.

Key facts

  • Disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz risk pushing small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) out of global supply chains.
  • SMEs face higher energy, freight, insurance, and financing costs due to the conflict.
  • SMEs represent 90% of global businesses, 70% of employment, and 50% of global GDP.
  • Fighting in the Gulf has caused oil prices to rise above $99 a barrel.
  • UNCTAD warned of an 'SME exclusion effect' where smaller companies could exit value chains.

Disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, a critical waterway for global oil trade, are disproportionately impacting small and medium-sized businesses (SMEs), potentially pushing them out of global supply chains, according to the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD).

The conflict in the Middle East, including renewed fighting between Iran and the U.S. and Houthi attacks in Saudi Arabia, has led to increased energy bills, freight rates, insurance premiums, and financing constraints. These rising costs place a heavier burden on SMEs compared to larger corporations, which have greater capacity to diversify suppliers, markets, and funding.

UNCTAD highlighted that SMEs constitute approximately 90% of global businesses, provide 70% of employment, and contribute 50% of world GDP. The agency warned of an "SME exclusion effect," where smaller companies might be forced to scale back production, delay investments, or exit value chains entirely, even as overall trade volumes eventually recover.

Recent shocks have already manifested in higher crude oil prices, reduced shipping transit volumes, and increased borrowing costs, all of which weigh heavily on SMEs that already face higher relative operating expenses. UNCTAD spokesperson Marcelo Risi emphasized the risk of smaller firms being excluded from value chains during trade recovery periods.

Frequently asked questions

The Strait of Hormuz is a strategic waterway located between Iran and Oman, through which a substantial portion of the world's oil trade passes.

The United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) is a UN body that promotes the interests of developing countries in world trade.

The 'SME exclusion effect' refers to the risk that smaller companies may be forced out of global value chains due to increased costs and disruptions, even when overall trade begins to recover.

What Happens Next

01UNCTAD will continue to monitor the impact of geopolitical events on global trade and SMEs.

How It Developed

Disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz have increased economic concentration and weakened international trade resilience.
Rising energy bills, freight rates, insurance premiums, and financing constraints disproportionately burden SMEs.
SMEs account for 90% of global businesses, 70% of employment, and 50% of world GDP.
Fighting in the Gulf resumed in August, causing oil prices to rise above $99 a barrel.
Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia could further disrupt Middle East energy supplies.
UNCTAD warned of an 'SME exclusion effect' where smaller firms may exit value chains.
Higher crude prices, lower shipping volumes, and rising borrowing costs weigh on SMEs.
UNCTAD spokesperson Marcelo Risi noted smaller firms risk being pushed out of value chains during trade recovery.

Sources

T1
Hormuz disruptions hitting small businesses hardest, UN trade agency warnsReuters

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