Key facts
- The Bank of England is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at 3.75%.
- Inflation data for the prior month was 2.8%, remaining below expectations.
- Economists forecast inflation could approach 4% by late 2026/early 2027.
- A US-Iran peace deal has led to a drop in Brent crude oil prices to $77 per barrel.
- Donald Trump announced a 14-point agreement with Iran, claiming it as a US victory.
The FTSE 100 is anticipated to experience a decline as investors await the Bank of England's interest rate decision. Rates are widely expected to remain at 3.75% as the Monetary Policy Committee assesses the impact of a recent US-Iran peace deal and ongoing inflation concerns.
Inflation figures for the previous month held steady at 2.8%, below expectations. However, economists caution that inflation could climb towards 4% by late 2026 or early 2027, with a potential worst-case scenario reaching 6%. The stability of the Strait of Hormuz, following the peace agreement, and business conduct are seen as critical factors influencing future price trends.
President Donald Trump announced a 14-point accord with Iran, which he described as a significant victory for the United States. Iran's chief negotiator, however, characterized it as a record of US 'failure.' The news contributed to a drop in Brent crude oil prices, which fell to $77 per barrel. Trump emphasized that the deal averted a 'worldwide depression' and ensured the re-opening of the Strait of Hormuz, which he had previously threatened to secure by force if necessary.