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Cerebras Systems misses estimates, shares slump on mixed AI chip results

Created at 12 Aug · 8:09 PM2 sources↑ Market-relevant2 events
IN SHORT

Cerebras Systems shares fell sharply after the AI chip designer missed key estimates despite soaring cloud revenue. While the company raised its annual forecasts, hardware sales declined, raising questions about its ability to compete with Nvidia.

Key Numbers

$25.4 billionremaining performance obligations
$880 million - $890 million2026 adjusted revenue forecast
41% - 43%annual adjusted gross margin forecast
74.3%second-quarter sales growth
$180.11 millionsecond-quarter sales
$6.91 millionsecond-quarter adjusted loss
$40.5 millionyear-ago loss
$20 billionOpenAI compute agreement value
$127.73 millionOpenAI ramp revenue in Q2
40.6%second-quarter adjusted gross margin
46.5%prior quarter adjusted gross margin
$54.1 millionsecond-quarter hardware sales
$70.3 millionyear-ago hardware sales
15%median implied upside from previous close

Who's Involved

Cerebras Systems
AI chip designer missing estimates, shares slump
Nvidia
Dominant AI processor market competitor
Morgan Stanley
Analysts questioning execution on capacity build
Citi
Cut price target slightly
Mizuho
Cut price target slightly
Cisco Systems
Networking equipment maker whose outlook fell short
Bob Komin
Finance chief of Cerebras Systems
OpenAI
AI research company with multi-year compute agreement

↳ Why This Matters

The results from Cerebras Systems and Cisco Systems highlight the challenges and high expectations facing AI infrastructure companies, as investors scrutinize their ability to translate soaring demand into consistent financial performance and challenge established players like Nvidia.

Key facts

  • Cerebras Systems' shares fell over 18% premarket after missing key financial estimates.
  • The company's cloud business revenue quadrupled to $126 million, while hardware sales, including AI chips, declined.
  • Second-quarter adjusted gross margin decreased to 40.6% from 46.5% in the previous quarter.
  • Cerebras raised its annual revenue and gross margin forecasts, projecting 2026 adjusted revenue between $880 million and $890 million.
  • The company is working to expand chip volumes to support a $20 billion multi-year agreement with OpenAI.

Cerebras Systems shares fell sharply after the AI chip designer missed key estimates despite soaring cloud revenue. While the company raised its annual forecasts, hardware sales declined, raising questions about its ability to compete with Nvidia. The company's cloud business revenue quadrupled to $126 million, while its hardware sales, including AI chips, declined to $54.1 million from $70.3 million a year ago. The second-quarter adjusted gross margin fell to 40.6% from 46.5% in the prior quarter. Cerebras Systems raised its annual revenue and gross margin forecasts, projecting 2026 adjusted revenue between $880 million and $890 million, and annual adjusted gross margin between 41% and 43%. The company is working to expand chip volumes to support a $20 billion multi-year agreement with OpenAI. In the second quarter, sales increased by 74.3% to $180.11 million, with an adjusted loss of $6.91 million, narrower than the $40.5 million loss a year ago. Revenue from cloud and services, reflecting the OpenAI ramp-up, nearly quadrupled to $127.73 million. Analysts at Morgan Stanley noted that execution remains a key debate given the scale and speed of capacity build required to support the ramp. Separately, Cisco Systems shares fell over 6% as its outlook fell short of expectations tied to its role in AI data center buildouts.

Frequently asked questions

Cerebras' flagship product is the wafer-scale engine (WSE), a single large chip designed for AI processing.

Cerebras' WSE is a single, dinner-plate-sized chip, whereas Nvidia typically connects thousands of smaller graphics processors. Cerebras claims its design is more efficient for AI inference.

Cerebras has a $20 billion multi-year agreement to provide AI compute power to OpenAI.

Second-quarter sales rose 74.3% to $180.11 million, and the adjusted loss narrowed to $6.91 million.

What Happens Next

01Cerebras plans to more than triple revenue by 2027.
02The company is racing to expand chip volumes to support its OpenAI agreement.

How It Developed

Cerebras Systems increased its annual revenue and gross margin forecasts.
The company expects 2026 adjusted revenue between $880 million and $890 million.
Annual adjusted gross margin is forecast at 41% to 43%.
Second-quarter sales increased by 74.3% to $180.11 million.
Cerebras is working to expand chip volumes to support a $20 billion multi-year agreement with OpenAI.
Cerebras Systems shares slumped over 18% premarket after missing key estimates.
The company's cloud business roughly quadrupled to $126 million.
Hardware sales, including AI chips, declined to $54.1 million from $70.3 million a year ago.

Sources

T1
Cerebras raises annual targets on strong AI chip demandReuters

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