Key facts
- Andy Burnham is positioned to become the UK's next Prime Minister following Keir Starmer's resignation.
- A POLITICO Poll found that 54% of UK adults prefer a leadership contest over Burnham being immediately appointed.
- Burnham recently won the Makerfield by-election, a prerequisite for running in the Labour leadership contest.
- Wes Streeting, a potential rival, has endorsed Burnham, clearing his path to leadership.
- Voters cited fairness and the opportunity for debate as reasons for preferring a leadership contest.
Andy Burnham is poised to become the United Kingdom's next Prime Minister following the resignation of Keir Starmer, but public opinion suggests a divided electorate regarding the process of his ascension.
A POLITICO Poll conducted by Public First indicates that while a majority of UK adults (54%) desire new leadership and are eager to move on from Starmer's tenure, they are not in favor of an immediate, uncontested transfer of power. Only 1 in 5 adults believe Burnham should be immediately appointed Labour leader and thus Prime Minister after winning the Makerfield by-election.
The poll reveals that 57% of Labour voters also support a leadership contest, even if it means a period without a confirmed Prime Minister. Voters cited fairness, the opportunity for a proper debate on the party's direction, and the chance for other candidates to run as key reasons for preferring a contested election. Conversely, the primary advantages cited for an immediate coronation include avoiding a lengthy and distracting contest and allowing the government to continue its work.
Burnham, who secured the Makerfield seat, is currently the clear front-runner. His path to leadership was further cleared when former Health Secretary Wes Streeting announced he would not contest the leadership and instead endorsed Burnham. Nominations for the Labour leadership open on July 9, and if Burnham is the sole contender, he could become Prime Minister by July 17.
However, opponents, such as Reform U.K., are already questioning Burnham's democratic mandate. The possibility of calling a general election to solidify his premiership exists, but research suggests Labour might still fall short of a parliamentary majority, potentially forcing reliance on other parties. This scenario, along with the risk of being perceived as avoiding public scrutiny, presents significant political challenges for Burnham. The poll also highlighted voter dissatisfaction with Starmer, with 64% not trusting him and 62% believing he doesn't keep his promises.