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US mortgage affordability improves in June as median payment falls

Created at 30 Jul · 4:46 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Homebuyer affordability saw a slight improvement in June as the national median payment for new purchase mortgage applications decreased to $2,191. This decline, attributed to lower loan amounts offsetting rising rates, resulted in the Purchase Applications Payment Index (PAPI) falling 0.3%.

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Key Numbers

$2,191national median payment on new purchase mortgage applications in June
$2,198national median payment in May
0.3%PAPI decline in June
157.9PAPI reading in June
158.4PAPI reading in May
4.6%household earnings growth over past year
3.5%annual PAPI decrease
$1,522median payment for borrowers at 25th percentile in June
$1,532median payment for borrowers at 25th percentile in May
$1,872median payment for FHA borrowers in June
$1,873median payment for FHA borrowers in May
$1,881median payment for FHA borrowers in June 2025
$2,209median payment for conventional loan applicants in June
$2,205median payment for conventional loan applicants a year earlier
251.2PAPI reading in Idaho
230.4PAPI reading in Nevada
209.7PAPI reading in Arizona
208.7PAPI reading in Rhode Island
195.8PAPI reading in Utah
119.6PAPI reading in Louisiana
122.0PAPI reading in Washington, D.C.
126.7PAPI reading in Vermont
128.1PAPI reading in New York
129.3PAPI reading in West Virginia
$2,199median payment on new construction applications in June
$2,173median payment on new construction applications in May

Who's Involved

Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA)
tracked mortgage payment affordability data
Edward Seiler
MBA's associate vice president of housing economics
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
provided weekly earnings data
U.S. Census Bureau
provided median asking rent data
US mortgage affordability improves in June as median payment falls

↳ Why This Matters

The slight improvement in mortgage affordability offers a small reprieve for potential homebuyers, though payments remain historically elevated. This trend indicates a complex interplay between loan amounts, interest rates, and income growth, with significant regional variations impacting different markets.

Key facts

  • The national median payment for new purchase mortgage applications decreased to $2,191 in June.
  • The Mortgage Bankers Association's Purchase Applications Payment Index (PAPI) fell 0.3% to 157.9 in June.
  • Lower application loan amounts contributed to the decrease in median mortgage payments.
  • Despite the monthly decrease, mortgage payments consume a smaller share of income annually compared to a year ago.
  • Western markets continue to experience the most acute affordability pressures.
  • The median payment for new construction applications increased to $2,199 in June.

Homebuyer affordability saw a marginal improvement in June, with the national median payment for new purchase mortgage applications falling to $2,191 from $2,198 in May, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA).

The MBA's Purchase Applications Payment Index (PAPI), which measures new monthly mortgage payments against household income, declined 0.3% to 157.9 in June. This decrease was attributed to lower application loan amounts offsetting increases in mortgage rates, according to Edward Seiler, MBA's associate vice president of housing economics.

Annually, affordability improved by 3.5%, as household earnings grew by 4.6% over the past year, meaning mortgage payments consumed a smaller portion of income compared to the previous year, though they remain historically elevated.

For borrowers seeking lower-payment loans, the median payment at the 25th percentile decreased to $1,522 in June. Changes across loan types were minimal, with FHA borrowers seeing a slight decrease to $1,872 and conventional loan applicants experiencing a minor drop to $2,209.

Affordability pressures were most pronounced in Western markets, with Idaho, Nevada, and Arizona reporting the highest PAPI readings. Conversely, Louisiana, Washington D.C., and Vermont showed relatively better payment-to-income ratios.

Improvements were noted across racial and ethnic groups, with the PAPI declining for Black, Hispanic, and White households. However, payments for newly constructed single-family homes edged higher in June, rising to $2,199 from $2,173 in May.

Frequently asked questions

The PAPI tracks changes in new monthly mortgage payments relative to household income, using data from the MBA's Weekly Applications Survey.

The decrease was primarily due to lower application loan amounts, which offset rising mortgage rates.

Affordability pressures remain most acute in Western markets, with Idaho, Nevada, and Arizona showing the highest PAPI readings.

No, the median payment on applications for new construction rose in June.

What Happens Next

01Monitor future MBA Purchase Applications Payment Index (PAPI) readings for continued trends in affordability.
02Observe regional variations in housing affordability across the U.S.

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Cadence

How It Developed

The national median payment on new purchase mortgage applications fell to $2,191 in June.
The Purchase Applications Payment Index (PAPI) declined 0.3% to 157.9 in June.
Lower application loan amounts offset rising mortgage rates, reducing the median payment.
Household earnings growth of 4.6% over the past year lowered the annual PAPI by 3.5%.
Median payment for FHA borrowers slipped to $1,872 in June.
Median payment for conventional loan applicants ticked down to $2,109.
Affordability pressures remained most acute in Western markets.
The median payment on new construction applications rose to $2,199 in June.

Sources

T1
Mortgage affordability improves in June as median payment slips to $2,191HousingWire

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