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US existing home sales decline for second straight month in July

Created at 11 Aug · 2:07 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

U.S. existing home sales fell 1.7% in July to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.06 million units, marking the second consecutive monthly decline. Higher mortgage rates and tight supply are expected to limit any rebound.

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Key Numbers

1.7%monthly decline in existing home sales
4.06 millionseasonally adjusted annual rate of home sales
71 basis pointsincrease in 30-year fixed-rate mortgage since February
6.69%average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage last week
1.9%decrease in existing housing inventory
1.54 millionunits of existing housing inventory
4.6 monthsmonths to exhaust current inventory at July sales pace
2.0%year-over-year increase in median existing home price
$434,100median existing home price
29%share of sales by first-time buyers
40%share needed for robust housing market by first-time buyers
29median days on market for listed properties
2%
share of distressed sales

Who's Involved

National Association of Realtors
reported existing home sales data
Freddie Mac
data provider for mortgage rates
Lawrence Yun
Chief Economist at the National Association of Realtors
Lucia Mutikani
Reuters reporter
Andrea Ricci
Reuters editor
US existing home sales decline for second straight month in July

↳ Why This Matters

The continued decline in existing home sales, driven by rising mortgage rates and persistent low inventory, signals a cooling housing market. This trend impacts affordability for potential buyers and can influence broader economic activity related to housing construction and consumer spending.

Key facts

  • Existing home sales in the U.S. decreased by 1.7% in July, reaching a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.06 million units.
  • This marks the second consecutive monthly decline in home sales.
  • The average rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage has risen significantly, reaching 6.69% last week.
  • Housing inventory declined by 1.9% to 1.54 million units.
  • The median existing home price saw a year-over-year increase of 2.0%, reaching $434,100.
  • First-time homebuyers represented 29% of sales in July.

U.S. existing home sales experienced a second consecutive monthly decline in July, falling 1.7% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.06 million units, according to the National Association of Realtors. This downturn was anticipated by economists, who had forecast a slight decrease. The sales figures likely reflect contracts signed in May and June, a period when mortgage rates began to rise again after a brief dip. The average rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage has increased by 71 basis points since February, reaching 6.69% last week, its highest level since July 2025. This surge in borrowing costs is discouraging homeowners from selling, exacerbating the existing housing shortage, as many are reluctant to trade their lower fixed-rate mortgages for higher ones. Sales saw decreases in the Midwest and South, while the Northeast experienced an increase and the West remained unchanged. Year-over-year, sales were up 0.7%. Lawrence Yun, NAR's chief economist, stated that the housing market would be thriving if average mortgage rates were closer to 6%. Housing inventory also decreased by 1.9% to 1.54 million units, a 0.6% drop from the previous year. At the current sales pace, it would take 4.6 months to sell all available existing homes, a figure unchanged from June and the prior year. The median existing home price rose 2.0% year-over-year to $434,100. First-time buyers constituted 29% of sales, down from 33% in June, a level significantly below the 40% considered necessary for a robust market. The median time properties spent on the market increased slightly to 29 days from 28 days in June and the previous year, while distressed sales remained stable at 2%.

Frequently asked questions

U.S. existing home sales have declined for two consecutive months, falling 1.7% in July to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.06 million units.

Higher mortgage rates and a tight supply of homes for sale are the primary factors limiting sales.

The median existing home price increased by 2.0% year-over-year to $434,100 in July.

First-time buyers accounted for 29% of sales in July, down from 33% in June.

What Happens Next

01Future sales data will indicate if mortgage rates stabilize or continue to rise.
02Monitoring inventory levels will be crucial for understanding market dynamics.

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Cadence

How It Developed

Existing home sales dropped 1.7% in July to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.06 million units.
Sales likely reflected contracts signed in May and June when mortgage rates resumed an upward trend.
The average rate on the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage has jumped 71 basis points since February.
Home sales fell in the Midwest and South, rose in the Northeast, and were unchanged in the West.
Existing housing inventory decreased 1.9% to 1.54 million units.
The median existing home price increased 2.0% from a year ago to $434,100.
First-time buyers accounted for 29% of sales, down from 33% in June.

Sources

T1
US existing home sales post second straight monthly decline in JulyReuters

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