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Home equity hits $18T as prices rise, but delinquencies climb

Created at 10 Aug · 2:51 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Home equity reached a record $18 trillion in the second quarter, driven by accelerating home price growth. However, mortgage delinquencies and foreclosure activity also increased, with a significant rise in borrowers underwater on their loans.

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Key Numbers

$18 trilliontotal home equity
1.5%annual home price growth in July
47.5 millionborrowers with tappable equity
$212,000average tappable equity per borrower
$15 trilliontotal mortgage debt
813,000mortgage holders underwater
44%year-over-year increase in underwater borrowers
320,000borrowers underwater and behind on payments
3.55%national delinquency rate in June
0.53%share of mortgages in active foreclosure
43,200foreclosure starts in June
7,300foreclosure sales in June
35%active foreclosure inventory from 2022 or later loans
6.7%mortgage rates at end of July

Who's Involved

Intercontinental Exchange (ICE)
Provider of mortgage and housing market data
Andy Walden
Head of mortgage and housing market research at ICE
Bob Hart
President of mortgage technology at ICE
Home equity hits $18T as prices rise, but delinquencies climb

↳ Why This Matters

The record home equity indicates substantial wealth accumulation for homeowners, potentially supporting consumer spending. However, rising delinquencies and foreclosures, particularly among recent borrowers and those underwater, signal increasing financial strain for a segment of the population and potential headwinds for the housing market.

Key facts

  • Home equity reached a record $18 trillion in the second quarter.
  • Annual home price growth accelerated to 1.5% in July, the strongest single-month increase in over three years.
  • 813,000 mortgage holders were underwater, a 44% increase year-over-year.
  • The share of mortgages in active foreclosure reached 0.53%, a six-year high.
  • Mortgage rates ended July near 6.7%, influenced by rising 10-year Treasury yields.

Home equity in the United States reached a record $18 trillion in the second quarter, fueled by an acceleration in annual home price growth to its highest level in 14 months in July. This surge in homeowner wealth occurred even as mortgage delinquencies and foreclosure activity continued to rise, according to Intercontinental Exchange's (ICE) August Mortgage Monitor report.

Annual home price growth increased to 1.5% in July, marking the fifth consecutive month of acceleration. ICE attributed this boost to lower mortgage rates earlier in the year, though rates have since climbed, potentially limiting further gains in the latter half of the year. Andy Walden, head of mortgage and housing market research at ICE, described the $18 trillion equity milestone as remarkable, reflecting significant wealth built by American homeowners.

Despite the overall equity growth, mortgage holders had $11.7 trillion in tappable equity, with approximately 47.5 million borrowers each holding an average of $212,000. Total mortgage debt surpassed $15 trillion for the first time, though it remains low relative to home values. However, the number of homeowners underwater on their mortgages increased by 44% year-over-year to 813,000. About 320,000 borrowers were both underwater and behind on payments, nearly doubling from the previous year, with Texas and Florida accounting for a significant portion of these distressed properties.

Mortgage delinquencies saw a modest rise in June, with the national rate increasing to 3.55%. The share of mortgages in active foreclosure reached 0.53%, the highest in six years, with foreclosure starts also hitting a six-year high. Loans originated in 2022 or later constitute nearly 35% of active foreclosure inventory, indicating challenges for recent buyers in a higher-rate environment with limited price appreciation. New defaults have not broadly accelerated, with FHA loan defaults falling, though VA loan defaults increased.

Mortgage rates ended July near 6.7%, their highest level in a year, driven by a rise in 10-year Treasury yields. The report also highlighted significant rate variations among lenders for borrowers with similar credit profiles, leading to notable differences in monthly payments.

Frequently asked questions

Home equity is the difference between the current market value of a home and the outstanding balance of all mortgages and other liens on the property.

A borrower is underwater when they owe more on their mortgage than the home is currently worth.

Borrowers who purchased homes during a period of higher interest rates and have experienced limited subsequent home price appreciation are more likely to face financial distress and default.

What Happens Next

01Monitor further acceleration or deceleration in home price growth in the second half of the year.
02Observe trends in mortgage delinquencies and foreclosure starts.
03Track the impact of sustained higher mortgage rates on housing demand and affordability.

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Cadence

How It Developed

Home equity reached a record $18 trillion in the second quarter.
Annual home price growth accelerated to a 14-month high of 1.5% in July.
Mortgage delinquencies and foreclosure activity continued to rise.
,000 mortgage holders were underwater, up 44% from a year earlier.
The share of mortgages in active foreclosure reached its highest level in six years.
Loans originated in 2022 or later accounted for nearly 35% of active foreclosure inventory.
Mortgage rates climbed through July, ending the month near 6.7%.

Sources

T1
Home equity hits $18T even as delinquencies, foreclosures riseHousingWire

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