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US Treasury Secretary Bessent Backs Yen Intervention

Created at 12 Aug · 8:06 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is using U.S. economic power to support the Japanese yen, marking the second major currency bet in a year. The intervention aims to stabilize the yen, shield the U.S. economy from market volatility, and prevent higher borrowing costs.

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Key Numbers

$1 billionBessent's past profit betting against yen
$5 billion to $10 billionPlanned yen purchases on Bessent's list
$60 billionCurrent Fed repo facility limit for foreign central banks
40-year lowYen's recent low against the dollar
1998Last time US intervened to support yen

Who's Involved

Scott Bessent
U.S. Treasury Secretary involved in yen intervention
George Soros
Bessent's former employer
Robin Brooks
Senior fellow at Brookings Institution, critical of Bessent's view
Sanae Takaichi
Japan's prime minister whose approval ratings have slumped
Ed Al-Hussainy
Portfolio manager at Columbia Threadneedle Investments, noting political factors
US Treasury Secretary Bessent Backs Yen Intervention

↳ Why This Matters

The intervention highlights the U.S. administration's willingness to use its economic might to manage currency volatility, aiming to protect its own financial markets and support geopolitical alliances, particularly in the face of increasing competition with China.

Key facts

  • Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is involved in a coordinated effort with Japan to stabilize the yen.
  • The U.S. intervention aims to prevent higher U.S. borrowing costs and support an ally.
  • Bessent's notepad indicated potential yen purchases between $5 billion and $10 billion.
  • The U.S. utilized its euro holdings to buy yen, bolstering its value without impacting the dollar.
  • Bessent called for an expansion of the Federal Reserve's repurchase agreement facility.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is spearheading a U.S. effort to stabilize the Japanese yen, a move reminiscent of his past as a currency trader. This coordinated intervention with Japan aims to prevent higher U.S. borrowing costs and support a key ally amidst competition with China.

The U.S. Treasury Department has stated that the yen is substantially undervalued and that its excessive volatility is undesirable. Analysts suggest the U.S. used its euro holdings to purchase yen, thereby bolstering its value without undermining confidence in the dollar. Bessent's notepad reportedly indicated plans for yen purchases ranging from $5 billion to $10 billion.

Bessent also called for an expansion of the Federal Reserve's repurchase agreement facility, established in 2020, which allows central banks holding U.S. Treasuries to borrow dollars. This move is seen as a strategic effort to support the U.S. bond market, as Japan, the largest holder of U.S. debt, might otherwise have been forced to sell Treasuries to support its currency, potentially driving up U.S. interest rates.

Some analysts, like Robin Brooks of the Brookings Institution, disagree with Bessent's assessment of the yen being undervalued, attributing its weakness to Japan's substantial public debt. Others, such as Ed Al-Hussainy of Columbia Threadneedle Investments, highlight the political considerations, including Japan's prime minister's approval ratings and its pledges to invest in the U.S., as factors influencing the timing of the intervention.

This marks the second time in a year that Bessent has engaged in significant currency market intervention. The last direct U.S. intervention to support the yen occurred in 1998 during the Asian financial crisis.

Frequently asked questions

The U.S. aims to stabilize the yen to prevent higher U.S. borrowing costs, shield the U.S. economy from market volatility, and support Japan as an ally against China.

The U.S. used its holdings of euros to buy yen, bolstering its value. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent also called to expand the Federal Reserve's repurchase agreement facility.

More than a decade ago, Bessent made $1 billion betting against the yen as a top investor for George Soros.

The U.S. last intervened directly in currency markets to support the yen in 1998 during the Asian financial crisis.

What Happens Next

01Further joint intervention by the U.S. and Japan if necessary.
02Potential expansion of the Federal Reserve's repurchase agreement facility.

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Cadence
CME Headlines
  • Euro futures held near 7-week highs ahead of key CPI and PPI data.
    11 Aug · 9:00 PM
  • Euro futures held near 7-week highs ahead of key CPI and PPI data.
    11 Aug · 9:00 PM
  • Japanese Yen futures fell as unexpected trade deficit weighed.
    10 Aug · 10:10 PM

How It Developed

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent previously made $1 billion betting against the yen.
The U.S. and Japan coordinated an effort to stabilize the weakening yen.
Bessent's notepad indicated plans to purchase between $5 billion and $10 billion worth of yen.
The Treasury Department stated the yen was undervalued and its volatility undesirable.
The U.S. used its euro holdings to buy yen, bolstering its value.
Bessent called to expand the Federal Reserve's repurchase agreement facility for foreign central banks.
The intervention is seen as a move to support the bond market and prevent higher U.S. interest rates.
Analysts noted the political factors influencing the U.S. decision to aid Japan.

Sources

T1
A Currency Trader at Heart, Bessent Bets on Japan’s YenThe New York Times
T2
A Currency Trader at Heart, Bessent Bets on Japan's Yen - DNyuzdnyuz.com
T2
A Currency Trader at Heart, Bessent Bets on Japan's Yeneuropesays.com

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