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US manufacturing output flat in June, but Q2 growth accelerates

Created at 17 Jul · 2:17 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

U.S. factory production was unchanged in June, but grew at a robust 4.7% annualized rate in the second quarter, the fastest in five years. This growth was supported by AI build-ups and inventory accumulation, despite a flat reading for manufacturing output last month.

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Key Numbers

0%June manufacturing output change
4.7%Q2 manufacturing output annualized growth rate
1.1%Year-on-year manufacturing output growth in June
1.4%Q1 manufacturing output annualized growth rate
9.4%Manufacturing's share of the U.S. economy
0.7%June motor vehicles and parts production increase
0.5%June output of computers and peripheral equipment decrease
9.2%Year-on-year output of computers and peripheral equipment increase
7.2%Q2 output of computers and peripheral equipment growth rate
0.7%June production of communications equipment increase
9.6%Q2 production of communications equipment growth rate
0.5%June output of semiconductors and related electronic components increase
10.2%Q2 output of semiconductors and related electronic components growth rate
0.1%June durable goods output decrease
0.2%June non-durable goods output increase
0.4%June mining production increase
1.1%May mining production increase
0.5%June energy output increase
0.3%June oil and gas well drilling increase
0.4%June utilities production rebound
0.7%May utilities production decrease
0.1%June overall industrial production increase
1.1%May overall industrial production increase
1.1%Year-on-year industrial output increase in June
4.0%Q2 industrial output growth rate
76.1%June industrial sector capacity utilization
3.3percentage points below 1972-2025 average for industrial capacity utilization
75.7%June manufacturing sector operating rate
2.5percentage points below long-run average for manufacturing operating rate

Who's Involved

Federal Reserve
reported U.S. factory production data
Reuters
polled economists for forecasts
Lucia Mutikani
Reporting by

↳ Why This Matters

The robust growth in manufacturing output during the second quarter, despite a flat June reading, indicates underlying strength in the industrial sector driven by AI investments and inventory management, which could influence economic forecasts and Federal Reserve policy.

Key facts

  • U.S. factory production was unchanged in June.
  • Manufacturing output grew at a 4.7% annualized rate in the second quarter, the fastest in five years.
  • Overall industrial production increased 0.1% in June.
  • Capacity utilization for the industrial sector remained at 76.1% in June.
  • Output of semiconductors and related electronic components rose 0.5% in June.

U.S. factory production remained unchanged in June, according to data released by the Federal Reserve. However, manufacturing output experienced robust growth in the second quarter, expanding at a 4.7% annualized rate, marking the fastest pace in five years. This acceleration was attributed to increased business spending on artificial intelligence and inventory accumulation in anticipation of potential shortages and price hikes, influenced by the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.

Last month's flat reading followed a revised 0.1% gain in May. Economists had predicted a 0.1% increase for June. On a year-over-year basis, output rose 1.1% in June. The second-quarter growth rate of 4.7% contrasts with the 1.4% expansion seen in the first quarter.

Manufacturing, which constitutes approximately 9.4% of the U.S. economy, was supported by significant business investment in AI. Production of motor vehicles and parts increased by 0.7% in June. While output of computers and peripheral equipment fell 0.5% for the month, it saw a 9.2% year-on-year increase and grew at a 7.2% annualized rate in the second quarter. Communications equipment production also rose 0.7% in June and grew at a 9.6% rate last quarter.

Output of semiconductors and related electronic components increased by 0.5% in June and grew at a 10.2% annualized pace in the second quarter. Production of long-lasting manufactured goods saw a slight dip of 0.1% for the month, which was offset by a 0.2% gain in non-durable goods output.

In other sectors, mining production increased by 0.4% in June, following a 1.1% rise in May. Energy output grew by 0.5%, with oil and gas well drilling up 0.3%. Utilities production rebounded by 0.4% due to increased demand for air conditioning, recovering from a 0.7% drop in May.

Overall industrial production edged up 0.1% in June, matching the increase from May. Year-over-year, industrial output rose 1.1%. The second quarter saw industrial output grow at a 4.0% annualized rate.

Capacity utilization for the industrial sector remained unchanged at 76.1% in June, which is 3.3 percentage points below its long-run average. The operating rate for the manufacturing sector slightly decreased to 75.7% from 75.8% in May, and is 2.5 percentage points below its long-run average.

Frequently asked questions

U.S. factory production was unchanged in June.

Manufacturing output grew at a 4.7% annualized rate in the second quarter, the fastest pace in five years.

Growth was driven by businesses spending heavily on artificial intelligence and accumulating inventory in anticipation of shortages and higher prices.

Overall industrial production edged up 0.1% in June.

Capacity utilization for the industrial sector was unchanged at 76.1% in June.

What Happens Next

01The Federal Reserve will continue to monitor manufacturing and industrial production data for economic health indicators.

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How It Developed

U.S. factory production was unchanged in June.
Manufacturing output grew at a 4.7% annualized rate in the second quarter.
Motor vehicles and parts production rose 0.7% in June.
Output of semiconductors and related electronic components rose 0.5% in June.
Mining production rose 0.4% in June.
Utilities production rebounded 0.4% in June.
Overall industrial production edged up 0.1% in June.
Capacity utilization for the industrial sector was unchanged at 76.1% in June.

Sources

T1
US manufacturing output unchanged in June, but accelerates in second quarterReuters

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