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US inflation data eases pressure on Fed rate hikes

Created at 13 Aug · 9:04 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

US stocks and bond prices rose as benign inflation data reduced pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates. Gold saw renewed investor interest amid uncertainty surrounding US rate outlook and geopolitical tensions.

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Key Numbers

+0.7%S&P 500 gain
+0.8%Nasdaq gain
+3.6%South Korea stock market gain
-0.5%UK stock market loss
+18%Workday stock gain
-16%Tapestry stock loss
+0.8%Colombian peso gain
-2%Oil price decline
-1%Gold price decline
0.4%UK Q2 GDP growth
1.1%Projected 2026 UK GDP growth

Who's Involved

Jamie McGeever
Reuters markets columnist
Beth Hammack
Cleveland Fed President
Thomas Barkin
Richmond Fed President
Denise Dresser
OpenAI Chief Revenue Officer, departing
Dali Rajic
New OpenAI revenue executive
Sam Cartwright
SocGen analyst
Allan Monks
JPMorgan analyst
US inflation data eases pressure on Fed rate hikes

↳ Why This Matters

The easing of inflation pressure reduces the immediate need for further interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, potentially supporting continued gains in the stock and bond markets. Geopolitical uncertainty and central bank actions are also influencing safe-haven assets like gold.

Key facts

  • US producer prices were unchanged in July, reducing expectations for further Federal Reserve rate hikes.
  • The S&P 500 reached a new high, and other major indices also saw gains.
  • Gold prices saw renewed investor interest due to uncertainty around US rate outlook and geopolitical tensions.
  • Britain's economy experienced unexpected growth in June, contributing to a 0.4% rise in Q2 GDP.
  • Federal Reserve officials expressed differing views on the need for further rate hikes.

Stocks and bond prices advanced on Thursday, with the S&P 500 reaching a fresh record high, as investors reacted positively to U.S. inflation data that suggested the Federal Reserve may not need to raise interest rates further.

The producer price index (PPI) for July remained unchanged, further diminishing the likelihood of additional rate hikes. This benign inflation snapshot has led markets to price in a potential rate hike only by December.

Federal Reserve officials offered mixed signals. Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack reiterated her view that rates should be increased, while Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin suggested that inflation might be naturally declining due to a vulnerable labor market. Despite these differing opinions, market sentiment remained buoyant, with both stocks and bonds showing gains.

Gold experienced a revival, drawing investors back due to uncertainty surrounding the U.S. rate outlook, the Federal Reserve's independence, and escalating tensions between the U.S. and Iran. Central banks are noted as a key group increasing their investment in gold.

In corporate news, OpenAI's chief revenue officer, Denise Dresser, is departing the company after less than a year. She will be succeeded by Dali Rajic, who joins from Wiz.

Britain's economy showed unexpected growth in June, with GDP increasing by 0.4% in the second quarter. This performance positions the UK for its strongest growth in the G7 during the first half of the year, though future growth is projected to moderate.

Frequently asked questions

US producer prices were unchanged in July, and CPI data was also described as relatively benign.

Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack believes rates should be raised, while Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin indicated inflation may be falling on its own.

Uncertainty around the US rate outlook, Fed independence, and escalating US-Iran tensions are drawing investors back to gold.

Britain's economy grew unexpectedly in June, leading to a 0.4% GDP increase in the second quarter.

What Happens Next

01Taiwan GDP (Q2, revised) to be released.
02Germany producer price inflation (July) data due.
03Euro zone GDP (Q2, flash estimate) to be published.
04U.S. retail sales (July) data to be released.
05U.S. University of Michigan consumer and inflation expectations (August, prelim) to be published.

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Cadence
CME Headlines
  • Treasury futures gain as yields react to flat July PPI data.
    13 Aug · 9:18 PM
  • Treasury futures gain as yields react to flat July PPI data.
    13 Aug · 9:18 PM
  • BrokerTec Markets on CME Globex Notice: August 10, 2026
    13 Aug · 2:15 PM

How It Developed

US producer prices were unchanged in July, further dimming rate hike odds.
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack stated rates should be raised now.
Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin noted the labor market is vulnerable and inflation may be drifting lower.
OpenAI's chief revenue officer Denise Dresser is leaving the company.
Britain's economy grew unexpectedly in June, with GDP rising 0.4% in the second quarter.
Stocks and bond prices rose, with the S&P 500 reaching a new high.

Sources

T1
Trading Day: Hiking pressure easesReuters

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