HomeEverything
Equities & FundsCrypto & Digital AssetsAI & TechnologyBusiness & CorporateUS Politics & PolicyGeopolitics & Global RiskMacro, Rates & FXCommodities & EnergyEuropean Politics & MarketsAsia-PacificReal Estate & Property
← All Stories

UK business confidence dips amid persistent cost and economic worries

Created at 29 Jun · 11:17 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

British businesses' confidence in the economic outlook declined in June, according to a Lloyds survey. While overall confidence fell, firms remained optimistic about their own trading prospects, though manufacturing sector confidence saw a notable drop.

✉Newsletter

PiQ Daily

Pick your topics. Get only what matters, on your cadence.

Key Numbers

+44overall business confidence
+4712-month average overall business confidence
+31confidence in wider economy
+3812-month average confidence in wider economy
+56own trading outlook optimism
+5712-month average own trading outlook optimism
+33manufacturing sector confidence
+4612-month average manufacturing sector confidence
1,200businesses surveyed
£250,000minimum annual sales for surveyed businesses
$330,275minimum annual sales for surveyed businesses in USD

Who's Involved

Lloyds
conducted the business confidence survey
Amanda Murphy
CEO for Lloyds Business and Commercial Banking
Ipsos
conducted the online polling for the survey
Suban Abdulla
Reuters reporter
David Milliken
Reuters editor
UK business confidence dips amid persistent cost and economic worries

↳ Why This Matters

The decline in business confidence, particularly in the manufacturing sector, signals persistent concerns about economic pressures and global uncertainty, potentially impacting future investment and hiring decisions.

Key facts

  • UK business confidence fell 3 points to +44 in June, below its 12-month average of +47.
  • Confidence in the wider economy dropped 4 points to +31, lower than the 12-month average of +38.
  • Firms' optimism about their own trading outlook decreased 2 points to +56, near its 12-month average of +57.
  • Manufacturing confidence fell 10 points to +33, well below its 12-month average of +46.
  • Hiring intentions for the next 12 months rose for the first time in three months.

British businesses' confidence in the economic outlook declined in June, according to a survey by Lloyds. The overall confidence index fell by 3 points to +44, below its 12-month average of +47. Confidence in the wider economy also decreased by 4 points to +31, lower than its 12-month average of +38. However, firms' optimism about their own trading prospects remained relatively strong, decreasing only slightly by 2 points to +56, close to its 12-month average of +57. A significant portion, 64%, of firms still expect stronger output in the coming year.

The manufacturing sector experienced a more pronounced downturn, with confidence falling by 10 points to +33, significantly below its 12-month average of +46. Despite these broader concerns, hiring intentions for the next 12 months rose for the first time in three months.

The survey, which polled 1,200 businesses with annual sales of at least £250,000, was conducted by Ipsos between June 1 and June 15.

Frequently asked questions

It is a monthly survey conducted by Lloyds Bank, polling 1,200 businesses to gauge their confidence in the economic outlook and their own trading prospects.

Overall business confidence fell, as did confidence in the wider economy. However, firms remained optimistic about their own prospects, and hiring intentions improved.

The manufacturing sector experienced the largest drop in confidence, falling 10 points.

What Happens Next

01Monitor future business surveys for trends in confidence and economic outlook.
02Observe manufacturing output data for signs of continued weakness or recovery.

Get the newsletter.

Pick the topics you actually care about. We'll email when there's news worth your time, on the cadence you choose. Cancel any time from your account.

Cadence
CME Headlines
  • Treasury futures held steady ahead of key jobs data.
    29 Jun · 8:34 PM
  • Treasury futures held steady ahead of key jobs data.
    29 Jun · 8:34 PM
  • Euro futures rise to trim losses after testing one-year lows.
    29 Jun · 6:25 PM

How It Developed

Business confidence in the UK fell by 3 points to +44 in June.
Confidence regarding the wider economy decreased by 4 points to +31.
Firms' optimism about their own trading outlook dropped 2 points to +56.
Manufacturing sector confidence saw a significant 10-point fall to +33.
Hiring intentions for the next 12 months increased for the first time in three months.

Sources

T1
UK business morale falls as concerns about cost pressures and economy persist, Lloyds saysReuters

Related Stories

UK shop price inflation flat in June as food costs ease
29 Jun · 11:05 PM
Euro zone corporate lending growth hits 3-year high in May
29 Jun · 8:21 AM
Bank of England's Pill Defends Rate Hike Votes, Cites Inflation Concerns
29 Jun · 4:35 AM
US Economy and Stocks Diverge as Real Rates Rise
29 Jun · 6:12 AM
Lagarde: Europe's resilience allows measured ECB rate moves
29 Jun · 7:03 PM