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Takaichi's approval dip fuels Japan rate concerns

Created at 28 Jul · 10:07 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's cabinet approval rating has seen a decline, leading to concerns in the domestic bond market about upward pressure on interest rates due to potential expansionary fiscal policies aimed at boosting support.

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Key Numbers

61%Takaichi Cabinet approval rating
4 ppIncrease in approval rating from previous survey
25%Disapproval rating
10 pointsDrop in approval rating in January
39%Did not think LDP dominance was good
31%Cited "whether or not to support the prime minister" as voting priority
72%Prioritized measures against high prices
76%In favor of consumption tax cut
59%Cited "prime minister's leadership" as reason for support
69%Takaichi Cabinet approval rating in Asahi Shimbun survey
44%Approved of measures to tackle rising prices
58%Believed abolishing additional gasoline tax would have large positive effect
67%
Approved of performance at Japan-U.S. summit

Who's Involved

Sanae Takaichi
Japanese Prime Minister
Mainichi Shimbun
Conducted public opinion poll
Liberal Democratic Party (LDP)
Ruling party
Junya Ogawa
New leader of Centrist Reform Alliance
Asahi Shimbun
Conducted public opinion survey
Donald Trump
U.S. President
Takaichi's approval dip fuels Japan rate concerns

↳ Why This Matters

The political stability and fiscal direction of Japan, a major global economy, directly influence international markets. Concerns over rising interest rates in Japan could impact global capital flows and currency markets, particularly the yen.

Key facts

  • Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's cabinet approval rating was 61% in a recent Mainichi Shimbun poll.
  • The approval rating had previously dropped significantly in January but recovered after the Feb. 8 House of Representatives election.
  • A majority of respondents favored a consumption tax cut, with 76% in favor.
  • The Takaichi Cabinet's measures against rising prices were popular, with 44% approving.
  • Concerns exist in the domestic bond market about rising interest rates due to potential expansionary fiscal policies.

The domestic bond market is experiencing upward pressure on interest rates due to concerns about expansionary fiscal policies potentially being implemented by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's administration to bolster its image amid fluctuating approval ratings. A recent Mainichi Shimbun poll showed Takaichi's Cabinet approval rating at 61%, a 4-point increase from the previous survey, with a disapproval rating of 25%. This recovery follows a significant drop in January but precedes the February 8 House of Representatives election, which the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) dominated.

Respondents prioritized measures against high prices (72%) and economic measures (48%). A significant majority (76%) favored a consumption tax cut, though 47% stipulated that funding must be secured first. The primary reason for supporting the Cabinet was "high hopes for the prime minister's leadership," cited by 59% of respondents.

An earlier Asahi Shimbun survey indicated an even higher approval rating of 69%, with 44% approving of the Cabinet's measures to combat rising prices. Takaichi's administration plans include abolishing the additional gasoline tax and distributing rice coupons. Her performance at the Japan-U.S. summit also received high marks, with 67% approval.

Despite the recent uptick, the political landscape shows nuances, with 39% of respondents not viewing the LDP's strong electoral performance positively. The election strategy appeared to hinge on voters deciding whether to support Prime Minister Takaichi herself, a strategy that seems to have succeeded in the short term.

Frequently asked questions

A Mainichi Shimbun poll showed the approval rating at 61%, while an Asahi Shimbun survey indicated it was 69%.

The bond market is concerned about upward pressure on interest rates due to potential expansionary fiscal policies aimed at boosting support for the government.

Measures against high prices were the most cited priority, followed by economic measures and social security.

A significant majority (76%) are in favor of a consumption tax cut, although nearly half believe funding must be secured first.

What Happens Next

01Prime Minister Takaichi intends to submit legislation to cut the consumption tax.

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Cadence
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How It Developed

Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's cabinet approval rating was 61% in a Mainichi Shimbun poll.
This figure was up 4 percentage points from the previous survey.
The disapproval rating decreased by 4 points to 25%.
The cabinet's approval rating had dropped significantly in January but rose again after the Feb. 8 House of Representatives election.
% of respondents did not think the LDP's dominance was good.
The primary voting decision factor cited was "whether or not to support the prime minister."
Measures against high prices were the most prioritized policy at 72%.
% of respondents were in favor of a consumption tax cut.

Sources

T1
Takaichi's falling approval ratings fuel interest rate concernsNikkei Asia
T2
Survey: Takaichi Cabinet approval rating remains high at 69%asahi.com
T2
Postelection approval rating for Japan PM Takaichi's ... - 毎日新聞mainichi.jp

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