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Mortgage applications fall 6.4% as 30-year rate hits 6.76%

Created at 29 Jul · 2:46 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Mortgage applications in the U.S. decreased by 6.4% week-over-week for the period ending July 24, driven by a rise in the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate to 6.76%. Refinance applications saw a 10% drop, while purchase activity declined 4%.

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Key Numbers

6.4%weekly decrease in mortgage applications
6%unadjusted weekly decrease in mortgage applications
10%weekly decrease in refinance index
2%year-over-year decrease in refinance index
4%weekly decrease in purchase index
3%unadjusted weekly decrease in purchase index
3%year-over-year increase in unadjusted purchase index
6.76%average rate for 30-year fixed mortgages
6.69%previous week's average rate for 30-year fixed mortgages
6.70%average rate for jumbo loan balance mortgages
6.44%previous week's average rate for jumbo loan balance mortgages
7 basis pointsincrease in FHA 30-year fixed mortgage rates
6.41%
average rate for FHA 30-year fixed mortgages
11 basis pointsincrease in 15-year fixed mortgage rates
6.15%average rate for 15-year fixed mortgages
6.04%previous week's average rate for 15-year fixed mortgages
1 basis pointincrease in 5/1 ARM rates
5.98%average rate for 5/1 ARMs
122.7Xactus Mortgage Intent Index reading
2.7%week-over-week decrease in mortgage intent
6.5%year-over-year decrease in mortgage intent index
39.5%refinance share of mortgage activity
41.2%previous week's refinance share of mortgage activity
8.1%adjustable-rate mortgage share of activity
16.9%FHA share of applications
17%previous week's FHA share of applications
12.6%VA share of applications
13.2%previous week's VA share of applications
0.4%USDA share of applications
0.5%previous week's USDA share of applications

Who's Involved

Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA)
released weekly mortgage applications survey data
Joel Kan
MBA’s vice president and deputy chief economist
Xactus
analyzed aggregated credit-pull activity for mortgage intent
Thomas Lloyd
Xactus’s chief strategy officer
Mortgage applications fall 6.4% as 30-year rate hits 6.76%

↳ Why This Matters

The decline in mortgage applications signals a cooling housing market, directly impacted by rising interest rates. This trend suggests reduced demand for both home purchases and refinancing, potentially affecting the broader real estate sector and consumer spending.

Key facts

  • Mortgage applications fell 6.4% in the week ending July 24.
  • The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate rose to 6.76%.
  • Refinance applications dropped 10%, while purchase applications fell 4%.
  • The refinance share of mortgage activity declined to 39.5%.
  • The adjustable-rate mortgage share increased to 8.1%.

Mortgage applications in the United States saw a significant decline of 6.4% in the week ending July 24, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA). This downturn was primarily attributed to a rise in mortgage rates, with the 30-year fixed rate reaching 6.76%, its highest point since August 2025.

Both refinance and purchase mortgage applications experienced decreases. The refinance index fell by 10% from the previous week, while the purchase index saw a 4% decline. On an unadjusted basis, the purchase index was 3% lower than the prior week but remained 3% higher than the same week last year.

Joel Kan, MBA’s vice president and deputy chief economist, noted that the upward trend in rates is impacting refinance borrowers and contributing to affordability challenges for homebuyers. The share of refinance activity in total mortgage applications decreased to 39.5% from 41.2% the previous week, while the share of adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) increased to 8.1%.

Government-backed loan shares also saw reductions, with the FHA share dropping to 16.9% and the VA share falling to 12.6%. The USDA share decreased to 0.4%.

Separately, Xactus reported that its Mortgage Intent Index, which tracks credit-pull activity, declined approximately 2.7% week-over-week to 122.7. Thomas Lloyd, Xactus’s chief strategy officer, stated that the current rate environment continues to constrain mortgage intent, with the index remaining about 6.5% below its level from the same week last year.

Frequently asked questions

The primary cause was the increase in mortgage rates, with the 30-year fixed rate reaching 6.76%, which has negatively impacted affordability for borrowers.

Refinance applications decreased by 10%, while purchase applications fell by 4% week-over-week.

It is an index that analyzes aggregated credit-pull activity to gauge consumer intent for mortgages, which also showed a decline.

What Happens Next

01Monitor future mortgage application data for continued trends.
02Observe the impact of interest rates on housing market activity.
03Track consumer sentiment regarding home buying and refinancing.

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How It Developed

Mortgage applications decreased 6.4% from the previous week.
The refinance index fell 10% week-over-week.
The purchase index decreased 4% from the previous week.
The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances increased to 6.76%.
The refinance share of mortgage activity decreased to 39.5%.
The adjustable-rate mortgage share of activity increased to 8.1%.
Xactus's Mortgage Intent Index decreased 2.7% week-over-week to 122.7.

Sources

T1
Mortgage applications fall 6.4% as 30-year rate hits 6.76%HousingWire

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