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Japanese households expect rising prices, BOJ survey finds

Created at 16 Jul · 5:00 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

A Bank of Japan survey revealed that over 90% of Japanese households anticipate rising prices in the next year, an increase from the previous quarter. This broadening inflationary pressure could influence the central bank's upcoming interest rate decisions.

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Key Numbers

90.4%households expecting prices to rise in a year
86.1%households expecting prices to rise in five years
49.9%households expecting economic conditions to worsen in a year
32.8%households expecting economic conditions to worsen in March
December 2008highest level for worsening economic expectations

Who's Involved

Bank of Japan
central bank scrutinizing survey for policy meeting
Japanese households
respondents in the central bank's survey
Japanese households expect rising prices, BOJ survey finds

↳ Why This Matters

The survey's findings on rising price expectations and worsening economic outlook could influence the Bank of Japan's monetary policy decisions, potentially increasing the likelihood of further interest rate hikes as it grapples with persistent inflation.

Key facts

  • Over 90% of Japanese households anticipate rising prices in the next year.
  • The percentage of households expecting price increases in one year rose to 90.4% in June.
  • Expectations for price increases in five years also climbed to 86.1%.
  • Nearly half of households expect economic conditions to worsen over the next year.

A Bank of Japan survey released on Thursday indicates that inflationary expectations among Japanese households are broadening. In June, 90.4% of households anticipated rising prices a year from now, an increase from 83.7% in the previous survey. Furthermore, 86.1% of respondents expect prices to rise five years ahead, up from 82.6% in March.

As the cost of living continues to climb, the survey also revealed a significant shift in economic outlook. Nearly half of households, 49.9%, now expect economic conditions to worsen in the coming year, a notable rise from 32.8% in March. This figure represents the highest level of pessimism recorded since December 2008.

These findings will be a key consideration for the Bank of Japan when its policymakers convene for a two-day policy meeting scheduled to conclude on July 31.

Frequently asked questions

The survey shows that over 90% of Japanese households expect prices to rise in the next year, indicating broadening inflationary pressures.

Expectations for price rises in one year increased to 90.4% from 83.7%, and expectations for five years rose to 86.1% from 82.6%.

Nearly half of households, 49.9%, expect economic conditions to worsen in the next year, the highest since December 2008.

The Bank of Japan's next policy meeting is scheduled to conclude on July 31.

What Happens Next

01Bank of Japan policy meeting concludes July 31.

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Cadence
CME Headlines
  • 10-Year Treasury yields fell as wholesale inflation softened
    15 Jul · 8:06 PM
  • 10-Year Treasury yields fell as wholesale inflation softened
    15 Jul · 8:06 PM
  • British Pound futures broke out of recent ranges as U.S. dollar slipped
    15 Jul · 7:08 PM

How It Developed

Over 90% of Japanese households expect prices to rise in a year.
The percentage of households expecting price rises in a year increased to 90.4% in June.
% of respondents expect prices to rise in five years, up from 82.6% in March.
% of households expect economic conditions to worsen in a year, the highest since December 2008.

Sources

T1
More Japanese households see prices rising, BOJ survey showsReuters

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