HomeEverythingEducationTV
Equities & FundsCrypto & Digital AssetsAI & TechnologyBusiness & CorporateUS Politics & PolicyGeopolitics & Global RiskMacro, Rates & FXCommodities & EnergyEuropean Politics & MarketsAsia-PacificReal Estate & Property
Story archiveAll categories
← All Stories

Israel's economy shrank 3.8% in Q1 amid war with Iran

Created at 16 Jul · 10:57 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Israel's economy contracted at an annualized rate of 3.8% in the first quarter, according to the Central Bureau of Statistics. The decline was attributed to the war with Iran, which ended with a ceasefire in April, impacting consumer and government spending, as well as exports. Growth is expected to rebound in the second quarter.

✉Newsletter

PiQ Daily

Pick your topics. Get only what matters, on your cadence.

Key Numbers

3.8%Israel economy contraction in Q1
4%Expected economic growth in 2026

Who's Involved

Central Bureau of Statistics
Israeli government agency that reported economic data
Bank of Israel
Expected economy to grow by 3.8% this year
Israel's economy shrank 3.8% in Q1 amid war with Iran

↳ Why This Matters

The contraction highlights the significant economic impact of geopolitical conflict, demonstrating how war and subsequent ceasefires can directly influence national economic performance, consumer behavior, and investment.

Key facts

  • Israel's economy contracted at an annualized rate of 3.8% in the first quarter.
  • The decline was attributed to the war with Iran.
  • Consumer spending, government spending, and exports all decreased.
  • Fixed investment saw an increase.
  • Growth is anticipated to rebound in the second quarter.

Israel's economy experienced a contraction of 3.8% on an annualized basis in the first quarter, as reported by the Central Bureau of Statistics. This downturn was primarily influenced by the ongoing war with Iran, which concluded with a ceasefire in April. The decline was marked by reductions in consumer spending, government expenditure, and exports, though these were partially counteracted by an increase in fixed asset investment. The Bank of Israel anticipates a rebound, projecting economic growth of 3.8% for the current year, contingent on the stability of the ceasefire. Forecasts suggest the economy is expected to grow by approximately 4% in 2026.

Frequently asked questions

The economy was impacted by the war with Iran, leading to declines in consumer and government spending, as well as exports.

No, the 3.8% contraction was unrevised from a prior estimate made a month ago.

Growth is expected to have bounced back in the second quarter, with forecasts suggesting about 4% growth in 2026.

What Happens Next

01Monitor second-quarter economic performance for signs of rebound.
02Observe the impact of the Iran ceasefire on future economic growth.

Get the newsletter.

Pick the topics you actually care about. We'll email when there's news worth your time, on the cadence you choose. Cancel any time from your account.

Cadence
CME Headlines
  • BrokerTec Markets on CME Globex Notice: July 13, 2026
    16 Jul · 2:15 PM
  • EBS Market on CME Globex Notice: July 13, 2026
    16 Jul · 7:00 AM
  • 10-Year Treasury yields fell as wholesale inflation softened
    15 Jul · 8:06 PM

How It Developed

Israel's economy shrank at an annualized rate of 3.8% in the first quarter.
The contraction was unrevised from a prior estimate.
The war with Iran impacted consumer and government spending, and exports.
Investment in fixed assets partially offset the declines.
Growth is expected to have bounced back in the second quarter.
Forecasts suggest the economy will grow about 4% in 2026.

Sources

T1
Israel economy shrank 3.8% in first quarter amid Iran warReuters
T2
Israel Economy Shrinks 3.3% in Q1tradingeconomics.com

Related Stories

UK economy grew 0.1% in May, defying contraction fears
16 Jul · 6:08 AM
Wall Street banks see resilient US consumer amid rising loan growth
15 Jul · 4:35 PM
Fed Beige Book: Economic Activity Rises, Inflation May Be Easing
15 Jul · 6:17 PM
Brazil government raises 2024 inflation forecast above target
15 Jul · 6:03 PM
Economic Activity Expands Modestly, Consumers Face Price Pressures
15 Jul · 8:41 PM