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French inflation slows to 1.8% in June, missing forecasts

Created at 30 Jun · 7:14 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

French consumer prices rose 1.8% year-on-year in June, a slowdown from May's 2.4% and below the 2.1% expected by analysts. The decrease was primarily driven by slower energy price growth, with services and food inflation also easing.

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Key Numbers

1.8%French annual inflation rate in June
2.4%French annual inflation rate in May
2.1%Expected French annual inflation rate in June
11.2%Energy price growth in June
1.8%Services inflation in June
0.9%Food inflation in June
-0.9%Manufactured goods price decline in June
3.3%Tobacco price increase in June
-0.2%Monthly CPI change in June
2%Harmonized inflation rate in June
2.8%Harmonized inflation rate in May
-0.3%Monthly harmonized CPI change in June

Who's Involved

INSEE
French statistics agency
Reuters
News agency reporting on French inflation
Trading Economics
Data provider for French inflation rates
French inflation slows to 1.8% in June, missing forecasts

↳ Why This Matters

This lower-than-expected inflation reading could influence the European Central Bank's future monetary policy decisions regarding interest rates, potentially easing pressure for aggressive rate hikes.

Key facts

  • French consumer prices rose 1.8% year-on-year in June.
  • This marks a slowdown from 2.4% in May.
  • The figure missed analyst expectations of 2.1%.
  • Slower energy price growth was the primary driver of the decline.
  • Services and food inflation also eased, while manufactured goods prices fell faster.
  • The monthly CPI decreased by 0.2%.

French consumer prices rose less than anticipated in June, with the annual inflation rate slowing to 1.8% from 2.4% in May, according to preliminary data from statistics agency INSEE. Analysts surveyed by Reuters had expected a rate of 2.1%.

The slowdown was primarily attributed to a sharp deceleration in energy price growth, particularly for petroleum products. Energy prices were still significantly higher year-on-year, though the increase was less pronounced than in the previous month. Inflation for services also eased to 1.8% from 2.1%, and food inflation decreased to 0.9% from 1.1%.

Prices for manufactured goods saw a faster decline of 0.9%, partly influenced by seasonal sales occurring more frequently in the June data collection period compared to the prior year. Conversely, tobacco prices saw a slight acceleration in their increase. The monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell by 0.2%, marking the first monthly decrease in five months, largely due to lower energy prices.

The harmonized inflation rate, adjusted for comparison across the Eurozone, stood at 2% year-on-year, down from 2.8% in May, and decreased by 0.3% on a monthly basis.

Frequently asked questions

The annual inflation rate in France slowed to 1.8% in June.

No, the 1.8% rate was below the analyst expectation of 2.1%.

The primary driver was a sharp slowdown in energy price growth, particularly for petroleum products. Services and food inflation also eased.

Inflation decreased from 2.4% in May to 1.8% in June.

What Happens Next

01Final inflation data for June will be released later.

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How It Developed

French consumer prices rose 1.8% year-on-year in June.
The annual inflation rate slowed from 2.4% in May.
The June inflation rate was below the expected 2.1%.
Energy price growth slowed significantly, particularly for petroleum products.
Services and food inflation also eased.
Prices for manufactured goods declined at a faster pace.
Tobacco prices increased at a slightly faster pace.
The monthly CPI declined 0.2% in June.

Sources

T1
French preliminary inflation at 2% in June, below estimatesReuters
T2
France Inflation Rate - TRADING ECONOMICStradingeconomics.com

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