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UK manufacturing cools in June despite stockpiling, PMI shows

Created at 1 Jul · 8:06 AM2 sources↑ Market-relevant2 events
IN SHORT

British manufacturing activity slowed in June, with the S&P Global UK Manufacturing PMI falling to 52.5. While output saw a boost from stockpiling, new orders growth decelerated, indicating a potential fading of this support.

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Key Numbers

52.5UK Manufacturing PMI in June
53.1Preliminary UK PMI estimate for June
53.9UK Manufacturing PMI in May
52.6UK output index in June
52.2UK output index in May

Who's Involved

S&P Global Market Intelligence
Provider of the UK Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index
Rob Dobson
Director at S&P Global Market Intelligence
Bank of England
Monitoring inflation and interest rates
Confederation of British Industry
Published a survey on manufacturing new orders
UK manufacturing cools in June despite stockpiling, PMI shows

↳ Why This Matters

The slowdown in UK manufacturing growth, despite stockpiling efforts, suggests underlying demand weakness and raises concerns about the sustainability of the sector's performance. This data will be closely watched by the Bank of England as it considers its monetary policy in light of inflationary pressures.

Key facts

  • British manufacturing activity cooled in June, with the S&P Global UK Manufacturing PMI falling to 52.5.
  • The UK's output index rose to 52.6, the highest since September 2024.
  • Growth in new orders slowed sharply, suggesting stockpiling benefits are fading.
  • Manufacturers' input costs increased at the slowest rate since March.
  • Firms' optimism about the year ahead slightly decreased.

British manufacturing activity cooled in June, despite a boost to output from stockpiling ahead of price hikes and supply chain issues related to the Middle East conflict. The final S&P Global UK Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index for June fell to 52.5, below preliminary estimates and May's reading.

While the survey's output index reached its highest level since September 2024 at 52.6, growth in new orders slowed significantly. Rob Dobson, director at S&P Global Market Intelligence, noted that the current upturn is being supported by client stockpiling but suggested this boost is already starting to fade.

Manufacturers' input costs rose at the slowest pace since March, and supplier delivery times lengthened by the smallest amount since February. The Bank of England is closely monitoring how higher energy prices might affect the economy. The employment index signalled growth for the third consecutive month, though at a slower pace, and firms were slightly less optimistic about the year ahead.

Frequently asked questions

A PMI score above 50 indicates an expansion in manufacturing activity, while a score below 50 suggests a contraction.

Client strategic stockpiling, aimed at safeguarding against supply chain disruptions and expected price rises, is currently boosting output.

The Bank of England is closely watching how higher energy prices, caused by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, feed into the economy.

What Happens Next

01Monitor future PMI surveys for sustained manufacturing growth.
02Observe the impact of fading stockpiling on future output.
03Track the Bank of England's response to inflation and economic data.

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How It Developed

Euro zone manufacturing output concluded its strongest quarter since early 2022.
UK manufacturing activity cooled in June, with the PMI falling to 52.5.
The UK's output index was the highest since September 2024 at 52.6.
Growth in new orders for UK manufacturing slowed sharply.
Manufacturers' input costs rose at the slowest pace since March.
Supplier delivery times lengthened by the smallest amount since February.
The UK manufacturing PMI's employment index signalled growth for a third month running but at a slower pace.

Sources

T1
Euro zone factory output ends first quarter on strong note, cost pressures ease - PMIReuters

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