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BoE's Bailey: Public confidence in 2% inflation target is key

Created at 2 Jun · 2:18 PM15 sources↑ Market-relevant11 events
IN SHORT

Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey stressed the importance of returning UK inflation to the 2% target and maintaining public confidence in the central bank's ability to achieve it. He indicated that raising the target to 3% is not a solution to current misses.

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Key Numbers

2%Bank of England inflation target
3%Proposed inflation target
2.8%UK inflation in April
4%BoE forecast for inflation by end of 2026
6%BoE forecast for inflation in early 2027 (adverse scenario)
11%Peak UK inflation in October 2022
3.75%Bank of England interest rate in April

Who's Involved

Andrew Bailey
Governor of the Bank of England
House of Lords' Economic Affairs Committee
Committee before which Bailey spoke
BoE's Bailey: Public confidence in 2% inflation target is key

↳ Why This Matters

Maintaining public confidence in the central bank's inflation target is crucial for anchoring expectations and ensuring the effectiveness of monetary policy in controlling price pressures.

Key facts

  • Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey emphasized the importance of returning UK inflation to the 2% target.
  • Bailey stated that assuring the public of the central bank's ability to achieve the target is essential.
  • He indicated that raising the inflation target to 3% is not the solution to misses.
  • Bailey emphasized the need to manage the path back to the 2% inflation target.
  • He noted that current inflation is largely due to events in the Gulf.
  • Public inflation expectations softened in May but remain elevated.

Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey stated that it is important to return UK inflation to its 2% target and assure the public of the central bank's capability to do so. Speaking at his annual appearance before the House of Lords' Economic Affairs Committee, Bailey indicated that adjusting the inflation target to 3% is not the solution to misses, emphasizing the need to manage the path back to the current target. He noted that current inflation is largely due to events in the Gulf, though some signs suggest energy price shocks may have less lasting impact than initially feared. Public inflation expectations softened in May but remain higher than before the conflict. Bailey believes inflation would currently be at the 2% target level were it not for the conflict in the Middle East.

Frequently asked questions

Andrew Bailey stated it is important to return UK inflation to the 2% target and assure the public of the central bank's capability to do so.

No, Bailey indicated that adjusting the inflation target to 3% is not the solution to misses.

The focus is on managing the path back to the current 2% inflation target and maintaining public confidence.

Bailey stated that the current inflation overshoot is largely due to events in the Gulf.

What Happens Next

01Further communication from the Bank of England regarding inflation management strategies.
02Future monetary policy decisions will be closely watched for their impact on inflation and public confidence.

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Cadence
CME Headlines
  • 10-Year Treasury Note yields rose on Middle East supply risks.
    8 Jul · 8:03 PM
  • 10-Year Treasury Note yields rose on Middle East supply risks.
    8 Jul · 8:03 PM
  • Japanese Yen futures fell near multi-decade lows.
    8 Jul · 7:57 PM

How It Developed

3 Jun · 4:41 AM
Global Market: BoE Governor Bailey stresses need to restore inflation credibility as price risks persist
Economic Times via PiQSuite
2 Jun · 3:50 PM
Andrew Bailey stressed the importance of returning UK inflation to the 2% target, rejecting a 3% target adjustment.
PiQSuite
2 Jun · 2:45 PM
BoE Governor Bailey is downplaying preliminary payroll figures and questioning the reliability of monthly GDP data.
@garcapital via PiQSuite
2 Jun · 2:40 PM
Andrew Bailey emphasizes the need to restore public confidence in the Bank of England's 2% inflation target.
Reuters via PiQSuite
2 Jun · 2:40 PM
BoE Governor Bailey states current energy shock is less severe than in 2022, contrasting with previous inflation drivers.
@garcapital via PiQSuite
2 Jun · 2:15 PM
Andrew Bailey attributes the inflation overshoot solely to events in the Persian Gulf, not domestic factors.
@investingLive_ via PiQSuite
2 Jun · 2:15 PM
BoE Governor Bailey warns of unpredictable events, with outlook suggesting slower growth but not a recession.
@garcapital via PiQSuite
2 Jun · 2:12 PM
Andrew Bailey questions the drivers of economic growth, focusing on trade and technology.
@FirstSquawk via PiQSuite
2 Jun · 2:10 PM
The Bank of England Governor's comments on inflation are not mentioned, with the new article focusing on a slower growth outlook for the US stock market.
@FirstSquawk via PiQSuite
2 Jun · 2:10 PM
Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey stated that the future direction of events is highly unpredictable.
@FirstSquawk via PiQSuite
2 Jun · 2:10 PM
BoE Governor Bailey reiterates that the inflation overshoot is solely due to Gulf events, while also noting the policy challenge of balancing growth and inflation.
@garcapital via PiQSuite

Sources

T1
- BoE Governor Bailey warns of unpredictable events ahead - Outlook suggests slower growth, but not a recession - Concerns linger over growth drivers, trade, and technology - Awaiting concrete evidence on second-round effects@garcapital via PiQSuite
T1
BOE's Bailey: The inflation overshoot is entirely due to events in the Persian Gulf https://t.co/g17uBzJUve@investingLive_ via PiQSuite
T1
BOE'S BAILEY: QUESTIONS AROUND GROWTH DRIVERS - TRADE AND TECH@FirstSquawk via PiQSuite
T1
BAILEY: QUESTIONS AROUND GROWTH DRIVERS - TRADE AND TECH@FirstSquawk via PiQSuite
T1
BAILEY: OUTLOOK IS FOR SLOWER GROWTH, NOT RECESSION@FirstSquawk via PiQSuite
T1
BAILEY: WHERE EVENTS GOING TO GO HIGHLY UNPREDICTABLE@FirstSquawk via PiQSuite
T1
- BoE Governor Bailey highlights the delicate balance policymakers must strike between growth and inflation. - He attributes the recent inflation overshoot solely to events in the Gulf region. 🌍@garcapital via PiQSuite
T1
Bank of England's Bailey says public must be given confidence in 2% inflation targetm.piqsuite.com
T1
- BoE Gov. Bailey: Current energy shock pales in comparison to 2022 - Canada 🇨🇦 seeks USMCA renewal and tariff relief - US 🇺🇸 Secretary of State Rubio: Aiming to end Russia oil sanctions waivers soon - Progress noted in statistics quality - Urgent need to mitigate market@garcapital via PiQSuite
T1
Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey stated that it is crucial to return inflation to the target and assure households of the central bank's capability. More Here → https://t.co/WE3dJo0R4F https://t.co/t9eMuumhzr@PiQNewswire via PiQSuite
T1
BoE Governor Bailey expresses caution: - Minimal reliance on preliminary payroll figures - Concerns regarding the reliability of monthly GDP data Stay tuned for further insights on the UK 🇬🇧 economic landscape.@garcapital via PiQSuite
T1
Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey warned the UK economy faces a worrying combination of an aging population and rapidly rising levels of young people out of work and education https://t.co/UDgxwFuFqe@business via PiQSuite
T1
Global Market: BoE Governor Bailey stresses need to restore inflation credibility as price risks persistm.piqsuite.com
T1
Inflation target should not be increased, says Bank governorm.piqsuite.com
T1
Bank of England's Bailey says public must be given confidence in 2% inflation targetm.piqsuite.com

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