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RBA Deputy Governor Hauser to speak amid hawkish inflation signals

Created at 4 Jun · 5:42 AM5 sources↑ Market-relevant4 events
IN SHORT

RBA Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser will speak on Australia's economic outlook. Markets anticipate hawkish signals following recent comments from Governor Bullock and board member Harper, indicating inflation remains high and domestic demand is strong, potentially reopening the output gap.

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Key Numbers

04:30 GMTHauser speaking time
00:30 US Eastern timeHauser speaking time
4.2%April consumer inflation
2% to 3%RBA's target inflation band
4.5%Unemployment rate
4.35%Current RBA interest rate
3Number of rate hikes this year
7%Chance of a fourth rate hike this month
23 basis pointsTotal tightening priced in for the rest of the year

Who's Involved

Andrew Hauser
Deputy Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia
Michele Bullock
Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia
Ian Harper
RBA Board member
Reserve Bank of Australia
Central bank of Australia

↳ Why This Matters

Any hawkish signals from RBA Deputy Governor Hauser could reinforce market expectations of further rate hikes, impacting Australian interest rates and the AUD, especially given recent concerns about domestic demand and inflation.

Key facts

  • RBA Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser is scheduled to speak at a fireside chat.
  • Markets are watching for signals on the path of interest rates.
  • RBA Governor Bullock stated inflation remains too high and policy is well-placed to act.
  • Board member Ian Harper warned of stronger domestic demand reopening the output gap.
  • Harper also expressed concern over rising market-based inflation measures.

RBA Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser is set to speak at a fireside chat in Sydney, with market participants closely observing for any indications regarding the future path of interest rates. This follows a week of hawkish commentary from RBA officials. Governor Michele Bullock reiterated that inflation remains elevated and that the central bank's monetary policy is appropriately positioned to respond to economic developments, reinforcing the conditional nature of the current pause. RBA Board member Ian Harper further heightened concerns by warning that stronger-than-expected domestic demand has led to a reopening of the output gap and that rising market-based inflation measures are a significant worry. Hauser, as deputy governor, is expected to align with this hawkish tone. The market will be scrutinizing his remarks for insights into the labor market, services inflation, and whether the current policy stance is considered sufficiently restrictive. Any hawkish lean from Hauser would solidify market expectations for further potential rate hikes, particularly given Harper's comments.

Frequently asked questions

Andrew Hauser will be speaking about Australia's economic outlook at a fireside chat hosted by Sky News and The Australian.

RBA Governor Bullock stated inflation remains too high and policy is well-placed to act, while Board member Ian Harper warned of stronger domestic demand and rising inflation measures.

Markets are parsing Hauser's commentary for signals, with swap markets pricing in 23 basis points of tightening for the rest of the year and a 7% chance of a hike this month.

What Happens Next

01Andrew Hauser to speak at a fireside chat on Australia's economic outlook.
02Markets will assess Hauser's commentary for signals on future RBA policy decisions.
03Swap markets are pricing in 23 basis points of tightening for the rest of the year.

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How It Developed

5 Jun · 1:30 AM
RBA's Hauser is set to speak, with markets anticipating a hawkish tone following recent inflation warnings.
ForexLive via PiQSuite
4 Jun · 5:57 AM
RBA Governor Michele Bullock stated that rate hikes are showing signs of working, while acknowledging they won't impact current inflation.
Financial Post via PiQSuite
4 Jun · 5:45 AM
RBA Governor Bullock notes policy tightening is working, but rate hikes won't curb current inflation from energy prices.
Reuters via PiQSuite
4 Jun · 5:18 AM
Australia's central bank is monitoring the economic impact of higher interest rates and an energy price shock.
Investing.com via PiQSuite

Sources

T1
Australia's central bank monitoring impact of higher rates, energy price shockm.piqsuite.com
T1
Australia's central bank monitoring impact of higher rates, energy price shockm.piqsuite.com
T1
RBA Is Already Seeing Signs Rate Hikes Are Working, Bullock Saysm.piqsuite.com
T1
RBA's Hauser due to speak, hawkish tilt expected after Harper's inflation warningm.piqsuite.com
T1
Australia's central bank monitoring impact of higher rates, energy price shockm.piqsuite.com

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