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US considers Gulf troop withdrawal amid Iran war vulnerability

Created at 18 Aug · 6:40 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

The US is evaluating a potential drawdown of military forces from Gulf states due to increased vulnerability to Iranian missile and drone attacks. The Department of War's policy office is leading the review, viewing the current conflict as an opportunity to reassess regional basing strategies.

Key Numbers

100 milesdistance of Centcom HQ from Iran

Who's Involved

Department of War
leading the evaluation of US troop presence in the Gulf
David Petraeus
former CIA director and Centcom head, commented on base vulnerability
General Frank McKenzie
former Centcom head, suggested relocating US bases
Admiral Bradley Cooper
current head of Centcom, supports discussions on troop movement
Iran
targeted US bases with missiles and drones
US considers Gulf troop withdrawal amid Iran war vulnerability

↳ Why This Matters

The potential withdrawal of US troops from the Gulf could significantly alter regional security dynamics, impacting Iran's strategic calculus and the defense posture of allied nations in the Middle East.

Key facts

  • The US is considering a military troop withdrawal from Gulf states.
  • The evaluation is prompted by Iranian missile and drone attacks exposing base vulnerabilities.
  • The Department of War's policy office is leading the review.
  • US has indicated attacked bases may not be rebuilt to their previous status.
  • Former military leaders have advocated for a drawdown or relocation of forces.
  • Iran has targeted key US bases in Bahrain, Qatar, Kuwait, and the UAE.
  • The Trump administration is reportedly considering a reduction of its military presence in Gulf states as a consequence of the ongoing war with Iran. This evaluation stems from the demonstrated vulnerability of large US bases in the region to Iranian drone and missile attacks, according to current and former US officials cited in a report by The Washington Post.

    The Department of War's policy office is spearheading the review, viewing the conflict as a significant opportunity to reassess the Pentagon's long-standing basing framework in the Middle East. The US has already signaled that it may not fully restore bases that have been attacked.

    Former senior US officials have been vocal about the need for a drawdown or relocation. David Petraeus, former director of the CIA and head of Centcom, noted a diminished willingness to occupy bases given Iran's demonstrated capabilities. General Frank McKenzie, another former Centcom head, suggested moving US bases to Israel and neighboring countries to better safeguard assets from Iranian threats, describing the current Middle East basing system as an outdated legacy.

    Admiral Bradley Cooper, the current head of Centcom, is reportedly supportive of discussions regarding a westward shift of US troops from the Gulf. Iran's actions have already impacted US operations, with attacks targeting bases in Bahrain (home to the Fifth Fleet), Qatar (Centcom headquarters), and air bases in Kuwait and the UAE. The US has already redeployed forces westward during the conflict. Middle East Eye previously reported that the US gained access to Taif Air Base in Saudi Arabia following an attack on Prince Sultan Air Base.

    Frequently asked questions

    Iran has targeted bases in Bahrain, Qatar, Kuwait, and the UAE, including Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia.

    The evaluation is being led by the Department of War's policy office.

    The vulnerability of large US bases to Iranian missile and drone attacks during the war on Iran is the primary reason for the review.

    Former Centcom head General Frank McKenzie suggested relocating bases to Israel and neighboring countries.

    What Happens Next

    01The Department of War's policy office is expected to complete its evaluation of US troop presence.
    02Discussions may continue regarding the potential relocation of US military bases westward.

    How It Developed

    US is examining troop withdrawal from Gulf states due to the war on Iran.
    Pentagon is weighing risks to large US bases from Iranian drone and missile attacks.
    The Department of War's policy office is leading the evaluation.
    The war is seen as a chance to reconsider the Pentagon's regional presence.
    US has signaled it may not rebuild attacked bases to pre-war status.
    Former US officials have raised the prospect of a drawdown for months.
    David Petraeus noted reduced inclination to occupy bases after Iranian attacks.
    General Frank McKenzie suggested relocating bases to Israel and neighboring countries.

    Sources

    T1
    US mulls shrinking military footprint in Gulf as a result of war on Iran: ReportMiddle East Eye

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