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Saudi Arabia seeks defensive alliances to deter regional war

Created at 14 Aug · 7:56 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Saudi Arabia is forging regional defensive alliances to deter attacks from Iran and its allies, but initial attempts to form a maritime coalition and a defense pact with Turkey and Pakistan have yet to prevent further assaults.

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Key Numbers

August 7, 2026date of defense agreement signing
February 28start date of US-Iran war

Who's Involved

Saudi Arabia
building regional defensive alliances to deter attacks
Iran
network of regional allies launching attacks
Turkey
partner in new defense pact
Pakistan
partner in new defense pact
Houthis
attacking Saudi shipping and oil installations
Aziz al-Ghashian
Saudi analyst concerned about targeting
Yasmine Farouk
Crisis Group project director on de-escalation policies
Sultan Alamer
Senior Resident Fellow at the Middle East Policy Council
Saudi Arabia seeks defensive alliances to deter regional war

↳ Why This Matters

Saudi Arabia's efforts to build defensive alliances highlight the kingdom's precarious position in a volatile region, balancing its economic ambitions with the need for security amidst escalating conflicts involving Iran and its proxies.

Key facts

  • Saudi Arabia is building regional defensive alliances to deter attacks from Iran and its allies.
  • Attempts to establish a multinational maritime coalition in the Red Sea have not yet prevented attacks.
  • A defense pact signed with Turkey and Pakistan has also failed to deter assaults.
  • The kingdom has faced attacks on critical oil infrastructure from Yemen and Iraq.
  • Saudi Arabia and the U.S. conducted joint airstrikes against Iraqi militias blamed for attacks.
  • Riyadh announced its intention to lead a maritime defense coalition in the Red Sea.

Saudi Arabia is actively constructing regional defensive alliances in an effort to deter attacks from Iran and its network of allies, and to respond more effectively to ongoing assaults. However, these nascent efforts, including attempts to form a multinational maritime coalition in the Red Sea and a defense pact with Turkey and Pakistan, have so far failed to prevent further attacks.

The kingdom has faced significant assaults on its critical oil infrastructure from Yemen and Iraq, as well as threats to its shipping in the Strait of Hormuz and the Red Sea. In response, Saudi Arabia and the United States conducted joint airstrikes targeting Iraqi militias believed to be responsible for the attacks. This marked the first publicly announced retaliation by Riyadh during the ongoing war, despite its efforts to avoid being perceived as a co-belligerent.

Following these developments, Saudi Arabia announced its intention to lead a maritime defense coalition in the Red Sea and revealed a joint defense agreement with Turkey and Pakistan, signed in Mecca. Analysts suggest these moves signal a willingness to escalate deterrence policies, moving beyond diplomacy, though joint military action is considered unlikely at this stage. The strategy aims to protect the kingdom's ambitious economic vision without becoming entangled in a broader regional conflict.

Analysts note that Saudi Arabia's desire to avoid war is being exploited by its adversaries. The Houthis, for instance, have continued to attack oil installations even after the new defense agreement was announced. The kingdom's approach has involved absorbing initial attacks and pursuing diplomatic channels, with limited, often secret, military responses. A tentative calm with Iran was achieved around the time of an April ceasefire with the U.S., but recent events have jeopardized this stability.

Frequently asked questions

Saudi Arabia aims to deter attacks from Iran and its allies, respond more robustly to assaults, and protect its ambitious economic vision without becoming directly involved in the wider regional war.

Initial attempts to form a maritime coalition in the Red Sea and a defense pact with Turkey and Pakistan have not yet prevented further attacks on the kingdom.

The kingdom and the U.S. conducted joint airstrikes against Iraqi militias, and Saudi Arabia announced its intention to lead a maritime defense coalition and a joint defense agreement with Turkey and Pakistan.

Analysts suggest that adversaries perceive Saudi Arabia's desire to avoid war as an opportunity to continue targeting the kingdom, understanding restraint as an acceptance of being attacked.

What Happens Next

01Further developments on the effectiveness of the maritime coalition in the Red Sea.
02Potential for increased diplomatic engagement or military responses based on future attacks.

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Cadence

How It Developed

Saudi Arabia is building regional defensive alliances to deter attacks from Iran and its allies.
Attempts to form a maritime coalition in the Red Sea have so far failed to ward off attacks.
A defense pact with Turkey and Pakistan has also not prevented further assaults.
The kingdom has faced attacks on oil infrastructure from Yemen and Iraq.
Saudi Arabia and the U.S. launched joint airstrikes targeting Iraqi militias.
Riyadh announced its intention to lead a maritime defense coalition in the Red Sea.
Saudi Arabia announced a joint defense agreement with Turkey and Pakistan.

Sources

T1
Saudi Arabia bets on defensive alliances to deter slide into warPiQSuite
T2
Saudi Arabia wants to deter Iran without joining the war. Its new ...firstpost.com
T2
Analysis-Saudi Arabia Bets on Defensive Alliances to Deter Slide Into Warusnews.com

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