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Jordan convenes emergency meeting over Israel’s potential to ‘trigger religious conflict’

Created at 4 Aug · 1:11 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Jordan is hosting an emergency meeting of Arab and Islamic foreign ministers to address what it calls an imminent threat of Israeli actions at Jerusalem's al-Aqsa mosque compound, warning of potential religious conflict. The meeting follows a significant increase in Israeli incursions and prayers at the site, which Jordan oversees under a historical custodianship treaty.

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Key Numbers

2,000+Israelis who entered the al-Aqsa compound on July 23
1878year of the Treaty of Berlin, enshrining religious site status quo
1967year of the Six-Day War, after which Jordanian custodianship was reaffirmed
1994year of the Israeli-Jordanian peace treaty reaffirming custodianship
2000year Ariel Sharon's visit ignited the second intifada
11.5 millionJordan's population
100 million cubic metresannual water shared with Jordan under a 2021 agreement
50 million cubic metresannual water supply under the 1994 treaty
32 yearstime since the 1994 treaty, population has grown
22%seats won by the Islamic Action Front in recent elections

Who's Involved

Jordan
convening emergency meeting of Arab and Islamic foreign ministers
Ayman Safadi
Jordan's foreign minister, hosting the emergency meeting
Itamar Ben Gvir
Israeli national security minister, led incursions on July 23
Benjamin Netanyahu
Israeli prime minister, facing election campaign survival
Dima Tahboub
Member of parliament and spokesperson for Jordan's Umma party

↳ Why This Matters

The escalating tensions surrounding the al-Aqsa mosque compound and potential Israeli actions in the West Bank risk igniting a wider religious conflict with significant geopolitical and humanitarian consequences for the Middle East and beyond. Jordan's role as a custodian and its unique demographic and geographic position make it particularly vulnerable to regional instability.

Key facts

  • Jordan is convening an emergency meeting of Arab and Islamic foreign ministers over perceived Israeli threats to the al-Aqsa mosque compound.
  • The meeting aims to address the potential for Israeli actions to "trigger a religious conflict".
  • Over 2,000 Israelis, including settlers, entered the site on July 23, performing prayers and rituals.
  • Jordanian officials consider this a severe violation of the established status quo.
  • Jordan fears potential Israeli actions in the West Bank, including mass deportations of Palestinians, which would destabilize the region.

Jordan is convening an emergency meeting of foreign ministers from Arab and Islamic nations to address what it describes as an "imminent" threat posed by Israeli actions at the al-Aqsa mosque compound in Jerusalem. The Hashemite kingdom, which holds custodianship over the site, warns that these actions could "trigger a religious conflict" that would have far-reaching consequences.

The Jordanian warning follows a significant increase in incursions by Jewish religious extremists onto the compound, known to Jews as the Temple Mount, in violation of a long-standing status quo treaty. On July 23, over 2,000 Israelis, including settlers and National Security Minister Itamar Ben Gvir, entered the area, praying and performing rituals. Jordanian officials have labeled this the most severe violation in modern history.

Amman is also alarmed by a recent recruitment drive for a special Temple Mount police unit for religious Jews and anticipates further challenges to Jordanian custodianship during the upcoming Jewish holidays in September. These holidays coincide with an intense election campaign in Israel, where Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition is fighting for survival.

Jordan's Foreign Minister Ayman Safadi stated that "tampering with the status quo" could ignite a religious conflict extending beyond Palestine and Jordan into the entire Muslim world. He described Jerusalem as a "tinderbox" and urged the international community to be aware of the "imminent danger" posed by continued Israeli measures.

Jordan's custodianship of the al-Aqsa compound dates back to Ottoman times and was reaffirmed in the 1994 Israeli-Jordanian peace treaty. Historical precedents, such as Ariel Sharon's 2000 visit, have ignited significant violence, including the second intifada.

Beyond the religious site, Jordan is concerned about potential Israeli actions in the West Bank before the upcoming elections, including mass deportations of Palestinians. Such an event would destabilize Jordan economically and politically, given that individuals of Palestinian descent already form over half of its 11.5 million population. Jordan has stated it will "do whatever it takes to prevent any attempt at Israeli displacement of Palestinians into Jordan."

Further straining relations, Israel has reportedly halved Jordan's water supply, a move seen as retaliation for Jordanian criticism of Israeli actions in Gaza. This has fueled anti-normalization sentiment within Jordan, as articulated by Member of Parliament Dima Tahboub, who called for greater international pressure against Israeli encroachments.

Frequently asked questions

Jordan holds a historical custodianship over the al-Aqsa mosque compound, a status reaffirmed by international treaties, including the 1994 Israeli-Jordanian peace treaty. This custodianship involves overseeing a status quo that generally permits only Muslims to pray at the site.

The status quo refers to the long-standing arrangement governing the religious site in Jerusalem, which, under Jordanian oversight, generally allows only Muslims to pray there, while non-Muslims can visit. Recent incursions by Jewish groups performing prayers and rituals are seen as violations of this arrangement.

Jordan fears that Israeli actions, particularly before upcoming elections, could include mass deportations of Palestinians from the West Bank. Such an event would create significant economic and political instability in Jordan, which already has a large Palestinian population and is wary of further demographic shifts.

Israel has reportedly halved the water supply to Jordan, reverting to a lower amount agreed in the 1994 treaty. This reduction is seen by Jordanian officials as retaliation for criticism of Israel's actions in Gaza and has exacerbated tensions.

What Happens Next

01Emergency meeting of Arab and Islamic foreign ministers to be held on Wednesday.
02Jewish holidays in September, during which further challenges to the status quo are anticipated.

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Cadence

How It Developed

Jordan is convening an emergency meeting of foreign ministers from Arab and Islamic nations.
The meeting addresses an "imminent" threat of Israeli actions at the al-Aqsa mosque compound in Jerusalem.
Jordan warns these actions have the potential to "trigger a religious conflict".
Over 2,000 Israelis, including settlers and the national security minister, entered the compound on July 23, praying and performing rituals.
Jordanian officials described the July 23 event as the worst violation of the status quo in modern history.
Amman is concerned about a recruitment drive for religious Jews for a special Temple Mount police unit.
Jordan anticipates further challenges to its custodianship during upcoming Jewish holidays in September.
Jordan's foreign minister, Ayman Safadi, stated that tampering with the status quo could trigger a conflict beyond Palestine and Jordan.

Sources

T1
Jordan convenes emergency meeting over Israel’s potential to ‘trigger religious conflict’The Guardian

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