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Swedish opposition leads ruling coalition by 10 points in poll

Created at 18 Aug · 8:04 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

A new poll indicates Sweden's center-left opposition holds a significant 10-point lead over the ruling right-wing coalition ahead of the September 13 election, suggesting a likely change in government.

Key Numbers

10 percentage pointsopposition lead over ruling coalition
September 13election date
3,000voters surveyed
196projected seats for opposition
153projected seats for ruling coalition
53.9%opposition bloc support
43.9%ruling coalition support
30.5%Social Democrats support

Who's Involved

Ulf Kristersson
Prime Minister and leader of the right-wing Moderates
Magdalena Andersson
Social Democrats leader
SVT
Public broadcaster that commissioned the poll
Verian
Polling firm that conducted the survey
Swedish opposition leads ruling coalition by 10 points in poll

↳ Why This Matters

The poll suggests a significant shift in Swedish political power, with the opposition's wide lead indicating a potential change in government and policy direction on key issues like the economy, security, and immigration.

Key facts

  • Sweden's center-left opposition leads the ruling right-wing coalition by 10 percentage points in a new poll.
  • The opposition bloc garnered 53.9% support, projected to secure 196 seats in the upcoming election.
  • The ruling coalition received 43.9% support, with projections indicating 153 seats.
  • The Social Democrats are the largest party with 30.5% support.

STOCKHOLM, Aug 18 (Reuters) - Sweden's center-left opposition is poised to win the upcoming September 13 election, holding a substantial 10 percentage point lead over the ruling right-wing coalition, according to an opinion poll released on Tuesday.

The survey, conducted by Verian for public broadcaster SVT between August 3-16 among approximately 3,000 voters, indicates that a change of government is likely, with Social Democrats leader Magdalena Andersson expected to reclaim the prime minister role from Ulf Kristersson of the Moderates.

The four left-leaning parties collectively hold 53.9% of voter support, which is estimated to translate into 196 seats in parliament. In contrast, the four-party ruling coalition has garnered 43.9% support, projected to win 153 seats.

The Social Democrats remain Sweden's largest single party with 30.5% support, a slight increase from the 2022 election. The election campaign has largely focused on issues such as the cost of living, security, immigration, crime, and energy supply.

Frequently asked questions

The poll indicates a likely change of government, with the center-left opposition expected to win and Social Democrats leader Magdalena Andersson potentially becoming prime minister again.

The campaign has focused on cost of living issues, security, immigration, crime, and energy supply.

The main blocs are the center-left opposition, led by the Social Democrats, and the ruling right-wing coalition, led by the Moderates.

What Happens Next

01September 13: Swedish general election.

How It Developed

A poll shows the center-left opposition leading the ruling coalition by 10 percentage points.
The opposition bloc has 53.9% support, projected to win 196 seats.
The ruling coalition has 43.9% support, projected to win 153 seats.
Social Democrats remain Sweden's largest party with 30.5% support.

Sources

T1
Swedish opposition holds big lead ahead of September vote, poll showsReuters

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