HomeEverythingEducation
Equities & FundsCrypto & Digital AssetsAI & TechnologyBusiness & CorporateUS Politics & PolicyGeopolitics & Global RiskMacro, Rates & FXCommodities & EnergyEuropean Politics & MarketsAsia-PacificReal Estate & Property
Story archiveAll categories
← All Stories

Scottish Conservatives win Westminster by-election for first time in over 50 years

Created at 19 Jun · 7:40 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

The Scottish Conservatives secured a historic victory in the Aberdeen South Westminster by-election, ousting the SNP. This win marks the first Conservative gain in a Scottish Westminster by-election since 1967 and was largely framed around protecting the North Sea oil and gas industry.

✉Newsletter

PiQ Daily

Pick your topics. Get only what matters, on your cadence.

Key Numbers

50+years since last Conservative Westminster by-election win in Scotland
6,000+vote margin for Conservative victory in Aberdeen South
50%Conservative vote share in Aberdeen South
28.6%SNP vote share in Aberdeen South
5.4%Labour vote share in Aberdeen South
49days Lumsden has to resign as MSP
1967year of previous Conservative Westminster by-election gain in Scotland

Who's Involved

Douglas Lumsden
Scottish Conservative candidate who won the Aberdeen South by-election
Scottish Conservatives
Party that achieved a historic Westminster by-election win in Scotland
SNP
Party that lost the Aberdeen South seat and held Arbroath and Broughty Ferry
Stephen Flynn
Outgoing SNP MP for Aberdeen South, now Scotland's economy secretary
Richard Thomson
SNP candidate defeated in Aberdeen South by-election
Kemi Badenoch
UK Conservative minister who supported the campaign in Aberdeen South
Scottish Conservatives win Westminster by-election for first time in over 50 years

↳ Why This Matters

This by-election victory is significant as it marks the first time in over 50 years that the Conservative Party has won a Westminster seat in Scotland through a by-election, signaling a potential shift in political dynamics and highlighting the importance of energy policy in Scottish politics.

Key facts

  • The Scottish Conservatives won the Aberdeen South Westminster by-election, defeating the SNP.
  • Douglas Lumsden secured the victory for the Conservatives, marking their first Westminster by-election gain in Scotland in over 50 years.
  • The campaign in Aberdeen South was significantly influenced by the issue of the North Sea oil and gas industry.
  • The SNP retained the Arbroath and Broughty Ferry seat in a separate by-election.
  • Douglas Lumsden must resign as an MSP due to Holyrood's ban on holding seats in both the Scottish Parliament and Westminster.

The Scottish Conservatives have achieved a significant Westminster by-election victory in Aberdeen South, ousting the SNP. This win, the first for the Tories in Scotland in over 50 years, was largely driven by a campaign focused on protecting the North Sea oil and gas industry.

Douglas Lumsden, the Conservative candidate, defeated SNP's Richard Thomson by a margin of over 6,000 votes, securing nearly half of the ballots cast. The result represents a substantial shift, with the Conservative vote share doubling and Labour's collapsing significantly.

This by-election was triggered by the resignation of SNP MP Stephen Flynn, who moved to the Scottish Parliament to become economy secretary. Flynn acknowledged the tough night for his party and expressed confidence in regaining the seat in the future.

In a separate by-election, the SNP successfully held the Arbroath and Broughty Ferry seat, with Lara Bird winning for the party. However, the loss in Aberdeen South is a notable setback for the SNP, particularly in John Swinney's first electoral test as party leader.

Lumsden, a former oil and gas worker, stated his constituents sent a clear message against the "destruction of the oil and gas industry." Conservative figures highlighted the importance of the energy sector to Aberdeen's economic success and security.

Due to Holyrood's ban on dual mandates, Lumsden will resign as a Member of the Scottish Parliament (MSP) within 49 days, with his seat to be filled by the next candidate on the Conservative list. The Conservatives last won a Westminster by-election in Scotland in 1973.

Frequently asked questions

It was the first time in over 50 years that the Scottish Conservatives won a Westminster by-election, indicating a potential shift in their electoral fortunes in Scotland.

The campaign heavily focused on the future of the North Sea oil and gas industry, with the Conservatives campaigning on protecting the sector.

A dual mandate refers to holding seats in both the UK Parliament (Westminster) and the Scottish Parliament (Holyrood) simultaneously, which is banned in Scotland.

Yes, the SNP successfully held the Arbroath and Broughty Ferry by-election.

What Happens Next

01Douglas Lumsden will resign as an MSP within 49 days.
02The next candidate on the Conservatives' North East Scotland list will take Lumsden's place in Holyrood.

Get the newsletter.

Pick the topics you actually care about. We'll email when there's news worth your time, on the cadence you choose. Cancel any time from your account.

Cadence

How It Developed

The Scottish Conservatives won the Aberdeen South Westminster by-election, taking the seat from the SNP.
Douglas Lumsden, the Conservative candidate, defeated SNP candidate Richard Thomson by over 6,000 votes.
This victory is the first for the Conservatives in a Scottish Westminster by-election in over 50 years.
The SNP also won the Arbroath and Broughty Ferry by-election, holding the seat.
Douglas Lumsden will resign as a Member of the Scottish Parliament (MSP) due to Holyrood's ban on dual mandates.
Stephen Flynn, the outgoing SNP MP for Aberdeen South, reflected on the loss, stating the party could regain the seat.

Sources

T1
Why the Tories' by-election win in Scotland is significantSky News · UK
T2
Scottish Tories win first Westminster by-election in more than 50 years ...bbc.co.uk
T2
Tories win Aberdeen South by-election after 'referendum' on oil and gas ...dailymail.com
T2
Tories and SNP win Scottish by-elections - Sky Newsnews.sky.com

Related Stories

EU Leaders Tackle Sanctions, Enlargement Amid Transatlantic Tensions
8 Jul · 7:10 AM
Thai court greenlights government's $12bn emergency borrowing
9 Jul · 5:11 AM
EU farmers' subsidies debated amid defense spending and Ukraine accession
8 Jul · 6:45 PM
EU seeks equity market growth, but new rules may harm dealers
9 Jul · 3:35 AM
Fake videos exploit Germany's East-West divide before key elections
8 Jul · 9:25 AM