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Nearly 25% of UK pubs and restaurants losing money, research shows

Created at 30 Jun · 7:10 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

New survey data indicates that 23% of UK pubs, bars, and restaurants are currently losing money, a significant increase from 15% three months prior. Industry leaders are campaigning for a VAT cut to 10% from the current 20% to alleviate financial pressures.

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Key Numbers

23%UK pubs, bars, restaurants losing money
15%UK pubs, bars, restaurants losing money three months ago
1 in 6businesses risk going bust within 12 months
5%businesses not financially viable
20%current UK VAT rate on food and drink service
10%proposed UK VAT rate on food and drink service
£10.5bn - £12bnestimated annual cost of VAT cut to Treasury
12.8%average VAT rate in Europe for hospitality
10%VAT rate in France, Spain, and Italy
7%VAT rate in Germany
9%new VAT rate in Republic of Ireland for food-led businesses
13.5%previous VAT rate in Republic of Ireland
2,700venues in Greene King chain

Who's Involved

Tom Kerridge
Chef spearheading the VAT cut campaign
Labour
Party that increased employers' national insurance contributions
Andy Burnham
Britain's prime ministerial hopeful with tentative backing for VAT cut
Tax Policy Associates
Independent thinktank sceptical of VAT cut benefits
Thomasina Miers
Wahaca founder backing the campaign
Nick Mackenzie
CEO of Greene King pubs chain
Ravneet Gill
Chef-restaurateur backing the campaign

↳ Why This Matters

The financial distress of the UK's hospitality sector, with nearly a quarter of businesses losing money, highlights significant economic challenges. A potential VAT cut could offer relief but also carries substantial fiscal implications, making it a critical policy debate with broad economic consequences.

Key facts

  • 23% of UK pubs, bars, and restaurants are currently losing money.
  • This is up from 15% three months ago.
  • One in six businesses risk insolvency within a year.
  • Industry figures are advocating for a VAT cut from 20% to 10%.
  • The UK's VAT rate on hospitality is higher than in many European countries.

New survey data reveals that nearly a quarter of pubs, bars, and restaurants in the UK are currently operating at a loss, a significant increase from previous months. This financial strain is prompting a campaign, led by prominent figures like chef Tom Kerridge, to urge the government to reduce the Value Added Tax (VAT) on hospitality services from 20% to 10%.

The campaign, under the slogan "VAT’s the problem," highlights that 23% of surveyed businesses are losing money, up from 15% in the last quarter. Furthermore, one in six businesses fear insolvency within the next year, and 5% are deemed not financially viable. Industry leaders attribute these difficulties to increased national insurance contributions, rising minimum wages, soaring inflation, and high energy costs.

Supporters of the VAT cut argue that it is the most impactful measure to support the struggling sector. They point out that the UK's hospitality VAT rate is considerably higher than the European average of 12.8%, with countries like France, Spain, and Italy charging 10%. The proposed reduction is estimated to cost the Treasury between £10.5 billion and £12 billion annually.

However, the proposal faces skepticism from some quarters. The thinktank Tax Policy Associates has warned that a VAT cut might disproportionately benefit larger businesses and that the allocated funds could be better utilized for broader economic growth initiatives. Despite this, Andy Burnham, a potential prime ministerial candidate, has expressed tentative support for a reduction.

Trade bodies representing the hospitality sector have emphasized the "devastating impact" of current taxation levels, stating that the accelerating number of businesses operating at a loss forces difficult decisions about closures. They are calling on the government to act swiftly to reduce the sector's tax burden.

Frequently asked questions

According to new survey data, 23% of UK pubs, bars, and restaurants are losing money.

The main proposal is to cut the Value Added Tax (VAT) on hospitality services from 20% to 10%.

Pressures include increased employers' national insurance contributions, the national minimum wage, soaring inflation, and energy costs.

The UK's VAT rate of 20% is higher than the European average of 12.8%. Countries like France, Spain, and Italy charge 10%.

What Happens Next

01The 'VAT’s the problem' campaign will be publicly launched.
02Visitors to hospitality venues will be asked to sign a petition backing the VAT reduction.

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Cadence

How It Developed

New survey data shows 23% of UK pubs, bars, and restaurants are losing money.
This figure represents a significant jump from 15% reported three months ago.
One in six businesses face closure within 12 months.
Celebrity chefs and business owners are campaigning for a VAT cut from 20% to 10%.
The campaign, 'VAT’s the problem', aims to gather public support via a petition.
Industry leaders cite increased national insurance, minimum wage, inflation, and energy costs as pressures.
The proposed VAT cut is estimated to cost the Treasury between £10.5bn and £12bn.
Andy Burnham has tentatively backed a VAT reduction.

Sources

T1
Nearly 25% of UK pubs and restaurants lose money, research showsThe Guardian

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