Key facts
- Futuro Nazionale, a new far-right party, has become Italy's fifth most popular party.
- The party, led by former general Roberto Vannacci, polls at 7.6% support.
- Vannacci's movement is drawing support from voters of the ruling coalition parties.
- Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni's Brothers of Italy leads in polls but has seen a recent slip in support.
- Vannacci's platform includes expelling immigrants and defending traditional family values.
Italy's new far-right movement, Futuro Nazionale, is maintaining strong momentum and siphoning support from parties in the ruling coalition, potentially complicating Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni's re-election chances. Launched in February by former army general Roberto Vannacci after breaking away from the League, Futuro Nazionale is now Italy's fifth most popular party, polling at 7.6%.
According to pollster YouTrend, Vannacci's party has seen its support rise by more than one percentage point since July 3, and it now closely trails Forza Italia, the second-largest party in Meloni's coalition. YouTrend chief Lorenzo Pregliasco noted that the gap between Futuro Nazionale and Forza Italia has virtually been erased.
Meloni's Brothers of Italy remains the most popular party at 26.4%, although its support has slipped in recent weeks. A report by pollster Ipsos indicated that Vannacci is drawing voters from the League and Brothers of Italy, as well as from those who did not vote in the 2024 European election. Vannacci advocates a hard-right populist platform, including "remigration" and defending traditional family values.
It is currently unclear whether Futuro Nazionale will forge an alliance with Meloni's bloc ahead of the next election, an option that has received a cool response from coalition leaders. The center-left opposition is currently slightly ahead of Meloni's bloc, with an average of polls last week showing the opposition at 44.3% versus 42.2% for the ruling coalition. YouTrend data suggests nearly two-thirds of Vannacci's voters would favor an electoral pact with the center-right, and a majority of Brothers of Italy supporters would also welcome it, but League and Forza Italia voters would oppose such a move.