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EU enlargement capacity strained by rapid accession drive

Created at 31 Jul · 8:16 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

The European Commission's Directorate-General for Enlargement is facing significant capacity challenges due to the accelerated pace of accession negotiations with multiple candidate countries. This strain risks undermining the bloc's ambitious enlargement agenda.

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Key Numbers

28thpotential EU member state
2013year the last country joined the EU

Who's Involved

Marta Kos
European Commissioner for Enlargement
DG ENEST
European Commission's Directorate-General for Enlargement and the Eastern Neighbourhood
Montenegro
EU candidate country aiming for membership by 2028
Albania
EU candidate country hoping to start accession treaty work next year
Iceland
Considering resuming its EU accession path
Ukraine
Opened two negotiating chapters, pushing for more
Moldova
Opened two negotiating chapters, pushing for more
Viktor Orbán
Hungary's Prime Minister, advocating a gradual approach to enlargement
EU enlargement capacity strained by rapid accession drive

↳ Why This Matters

The EU's ambitious enlargement agenda risks being hampered by a lack of internal capacity within the Commission and member states, potentially delaying the integration of new members and testing the bloc's political commitment to expansion.

Key facts

  • The European Commission's DG ENEST is struggling with capacity due to an accelerated enlargement drive.
  • More negotiating chapters have closed in six months than in the past decade.
  • Montenegro and Albania are frontrunners for accession, with Montenegro aiming for membership by 2028.
  • High staff turnover and reliance on temporary contracts are impacting institutional memory.
  • Ukraine and Moldova are also pushing for rapid progress in their accession talks.

The European Commission's department responsible for enlargement is facing a significant capacity crisis as the bloc accelerates its accession drive. The Directorate-General for Enlargement and the Eastern Neighbourhood (DG ENEST) is struggling to manage the workload of multiple candidate countries simultaneously, a situation exacerbated by a recent surge in closed negotiating chapters.

Sources indicate that the strain is a direct consequence of the EU's booming enlargement efforts, with more progress made in the last six months than in the preceding decade. Montenegro is reportedly drafting its accession treaty with a target of becoming the 28th member by 2028, followed closely by Albania. This intensive work has led to a reallocation of resources, impacting officials previously focused on other Western Balkan nations.

An anonymous official highlighted that the Commission is losing institutional memory and capacity, as the last country to join the EU was Croatia in 2013. The reliance on temporary contracts contributes to high staff turnover and a lack of experienced negotiators. The situation could become more complex with Iceland's potential return to accession talks following a referendum, requiring the establishment of a new task force.

Adding to the pressure, Ukraine and Moldova have recently opened negotiating chapters, and there is political momentum to open the remaining four before the end of the year. However, Hungary has called for a more measured approach, citing domestic political reasons. The current enlargement methodology has not seen countries open all clusters simultaneously, with Albania taking over a year to do so, even with expedited progress.

Officials in Brussels acknowledge that managing so many countries at once necessitates re-prioritizing internal resources. Both Ukraine and Moldova are also reportedly nearing their capacity limits in handling such complex negotiations and legal integration. The challenge extends beyond the Commission, with the Council of the EU and member states also needing to bolster their internal capabilities to support the enlarged bloc.

Frequently asked questions

DG ENEST is the European Commission's Directorate-General for Enlargement and the Eastern Neighbourhood, responsible for managing the EU's accession process with candidate countries.

The EU is facing capacity issues because the number of candidate countries and the pace of negotiations have increased significantly, straining the resources and institutional memory of the Commission and member states.

Montenegro and Albania are considered frontrunners, with Montenegro aiming to join by 2028 and Albania hoping to begin its accession treaty work soon.

Frontloading refers to the process where the Commission advances work on accession chapters for a candidate country, even if the formal accession bid is temporarily on hold, as was the case with Ukraine while Hungary had paused its bid.

What Happens Next

01Iceland to hold a referendum on resuming its EU accession path on August 29.
02Political push to open remaining negotiating clusters for Ukraine and Moldova before year-end.
03Hungary to continue advocating for a more gradual approach to enlargement.

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Cadence

How It Developed

The European Commission's Directorate-General for Enlargement and the Eastern Neighbourhood (DG ENEST) is experiencing a capacity crunch.
More negotiating chapters have closed in the past six months than in the previous decade.
Montenegro is drafting its accession treaty, aiming for EU membership by 2028.
Albania is also progressing rapidly, with hopes to begin its accession treaty work next year.
Resources have been reallocated from less-progressing Western Balkan countries to support Montenegro's accession.
The Commission faces high turnover due to reliance on temporary contracts, leading to a loss of institutional memory.
Iceland is considering resuming its accession path via a referendum on August 29.
Ukraine and Moldova have opened negotiating chapters, with political pressure to open more before year-end.

Sources

T1
EU's enlargement risks becoming a victim of its own successEuronews

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