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EU illicit cigarette market surpasses 10% due to counterfeits

Created at 3 Jun · 8:28 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

The illicit cigarette market in the EU has exceeded 10% of total consumption for the first time since 2014, with a 7% year-on-year rise in 2025. Counterfeit cigarettes are a growing factor, prompting Philip Morris International to call for a coordinated response.

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Key Numbers

7%year-on-year rise in illicit cigarette consumption in 2025
10%illicit market share in the EU
2014last year illicit market share was above 10%

Who's Involved

Philip Morris International (PMI)
Calls for coordinated response to illicit trade in Europe

↳ Why This Matters

The rise in illicit cigarette trade, particularly counterfeits, impacts tax revenues, public health, and legitimate businesses, necessitating coordinated regulatory and enforcement efforts across the EU.

Key facts

  • EU illicit cigarette market consumption rose over 7% year-on-year in 2025.
  • The illicit market share has surpassed 10% of total consumption for the first time since 2014.
  • Counterfeit cigarettes are increasingly contributing to the illicit trade.
  • Philip Morris International is calling for a coordinated response to combat illicit trade in Europe.

A new study indicates that the illicit cigarette market in the European Union has exceeded 10% of total consumption for the first time since 2014. In 2025, consumption of black-market cigarettes saw a year-on-year increase of over 7%. Counterfeit cigarettes are identified as a growing factor contributing to this rise across EU member states. Philip Morris International has reiterated its appeal for a unified approach to combatting illicit trade within Europe, emphasizing the need for evidence-based regulations and enhanced cooperation among authorities.

Frequently asked questions

The illicit cigarette market in the EU has surpassed 10% of total consumption, a level not seen since 2014. In 2025, consumption rose by over 7% year-on-year.

Counterfeit cigarettes are playing an increasingly significant role in the rise of the illicit cigarette trade across EU member states.

Philip Morris International is calling for a coordinated response to illicit trade in Europe, advocating for evidence-based regulation and strengthened cooperation.

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Cadence

How It Developed

3 Jun · 8:10 AM
The EU's illicit cigarette market exceeded 10% in 2025, driven by a 7% year-on-year rise in black-market consumption, with counterfeit products increasingly prevalent.
Financial Post via PiQSuite

Sources

T1
Counterfeit Cigarettes Drive EU Illicit Market Above 10% for First Time Since 2014m.piqsuite.com

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