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US Direct Lending Activity Declines Amidst Increased Fundraising

Created at 9 Jul · 4:34 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Direct lending by U.S. private credit firms saw a significant drop in the second quarter, falling 55% quarter-on-quarter. This occurred despite a substantial rebound in fundraising, which reached its highest level in two years, indicating a shift towards greater selectivity among lenders.

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Key Numbers

$16.25 billionNorth America direct-lending fundraisings in Q2
$1.3 billionNorth America direct-lending fundraisings in Q1
$33.59 billionU.S. direct-lending volume in Q2
$74.67 billionU.S. direct-lending volume in Q1
55%Quarter-on-quarter decline in U.S. direct-lending volume
154Number of U.S. direct-lending deals in Q2
217Number of U.S. direct-lending deals in Q1
$19.40 billionPE-backed direct-lending volume in Q2
$44.61 billionPE-backed direct-lending volume in Q1
$9.79 billionLBO-related volume in Q2
$22.31 billionLBO-related volume in Q1

Who's Involved

Preqin
Data provider for direct-lending fundraisings
PitchBook/LCD
Data provider for U.S. direct-lending volumes
Jun Li
EY's global and Americas wealth and asset management leader
Bryant Riley
Chairman and chief executive of B. Riley Financial
US Direct Lending Activity Declines Amidst Increased Fundraising

↳ Why This Matters

The significant divergence between robust fundraising and declining deal flow in U.S. direct lending signals a more cautious and selective lending environment. This shift could impact corporate financing costs and availability, particularly for private equity-backed buyouts, and suggests a greater emphasis on underwriting quality and risk-adjusted returns over rapid deployment of capital.

Key facts

  • Direct lending by U.S. private credit firms decreased by approximately 55% in the second quarter compared to the first.
  • Fundraising for North America-focused closed-end direct-lending funds reached $16.25 billion in Q2, the highest in two years.
  • Lending volumes declined to $33.59 billion in Q2, the lowest since Q2 2023, with deal counts falling to 154.
  • Private equity-backed lending, a key demand driver, saw a sharp pullback, with buyout-related volume decreasing significantly.
  • Lenders are becoming more selective due to increased scrutiny after defaults, concerns over specific sector exposures, and redemption pressures.

Direct lending activity by U.S. private credit firms experienced a sharp decline in the second quarter, even as the amount of capital raised by these firms rebounded significantly. North America-focused closed-end direct-lending funds raised $16.25 billion in the quarter, a substantial increase from $1.3 billion in the first quarter and the highest level in two years, according to Preqin data.

However, lending volumes moved in the opposite direction. U.S. direct-lending volume, which measures loans made directly by private-credit funds to companies, fell approximately 55% quarter-on-quarter to $33.59 billion in the second quarter from $74.67 billion in the first. This marks the lowest level since the second quarter of 2023, according to PitchBook/LCD data. The number of deals also decreased to 154 from 217.

Direct lenders are private-credit funds that provide loans directly to companies, often for buyouts, acquisitions, or refinancings, bypassing traditional banks or the broadly syndicated loan market. The divergence between fundraising and deal flow suggests that while capital is still flowing into private credit, lenders are becoming more selective about deploying it. This shift follows increased scrutiny after defaults, concerns over software exposure, and redemption pressures from some retail investors.

Jun Li, EY’s global and Americas wealth and asset management leader, attributed the slowdown to softer M&A and buyout activity, borrower delays, competition from the broadly syndicated loan market, and greater selectivity among private-credit managers. The pullback was most pronounced in private equity-backed lending, a key source of demand, with PE-backed direct-lending volume falling to $19.40 billion in Q2 from $44.61 billion in Q1. Leveraged buyout-related volume dropped to $9.79 billion from $22.31 billion.

Some caution among private credit firms also stems from loans made during the 2021-2022 boom when rates were lower and terms were looser. Higher current rates have made these loans harder to service, prompting lenders to demand better pricing and stronger protections on new deals. Additionally, some firms are constrained by existing portfolio stress, with business development companies keeping cash available for troubled borrowers rather than new loans. Private BDCs have also faced redemption requests, and many public BDCs' shares trade below net asset value, limiting their ability to raise fresh equity.

Frequently asked questions

Direct lending involves private credit funds providing loans directly to companies, often for buyouts, acquisitions, or refinancings, bypassing traditional banks or the syndicated loan market.

The decline is attributed to softer M&A and buyout activity, borrower delays, competition from the syndicated loan market, increased selectivity by lenders, and concerns over existing portfolio stress from loans made during the 2021-2022 boom.

The rebound in fundraising indicates continued investor appetite for private credit, but the simultaneous drop in lending volume highlights a mismatch between available capital and deal opportunities, leading to increased lender selectivity.

What Happens Next

01Investors are expected to prioritize underwriting quality and risk-adjusted returns over deployment speed.
02Lenders will likely continue to demand better pricing and stronger protections on new deals.

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How It Developed

North America-focused closed-end direct-lending funds raised $16.25 billion in Q2.
U.S. direct-lending volume fell 55% to $33.59 billion in Q2.
The number of direct lending deals declined to 154 in Q2 from 217 in Q1.
Private equity-backed lending volume dropped significantly in Q2.
Lenders are demanding better pricing and stronger protections on new deals due to higher rates and past loan performance.

Sources

T1
US direct-lending activity falls even as private credit firms raise more cashReuters

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